Vince Stock Story


USD 7.65  0.04  0.52%   

This short post will digest Vince Holding as a possible investment alternative for your portfolios. We will provide a perspective on Vince Holding future direction.
Published over two months ago
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Are Vince (NYSE:VNCE) shareholders starting to hold back?

Vince Holding Corp has a beta of 0.5575. Let's try to break down what Vince's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vince Holding will likely underperform. The beta indicator helps investors understand whether Vince Holding moves in the same direction as the rest of the market, and how volatile (i.e., risky) it is compared to the market (i.e., selected benchmark). In other words, if Vince deviates very little from the market, it does not add much risk to the portfolio, but it also doesn't increase the expected returns.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vince Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Vince Holding

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vince Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vince Holding in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vince Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vince Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vince Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vince Holding Corp.

How important is Vince Holding's Liquidity

Vince Holding financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Vince Holding Corp ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Vince Holding financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Vince Holding's total debt and its cash.

How does Vince utilize its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Vince Holding, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Vince Holding is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Vince Holding cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.
Vince Holding Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at (221,000)

Is Vince Holding valued correctly by the market?

The latest bullish price patterns experienced by current Vince Holding shareholders may raise some interest from shareholders as it is trading at a share price of 8.00 on 3,998 in trading volume. The company management teams have been very successful in rebalancing the company assets at opportune times to take advantage of market volatility in May. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 90 days investing horizon is currently 3.58. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Vince Holding Corp partners.

Will price continue to surge in July 2022?

Latest Sortino Ratio is up to 0.05. Price may dip again. Vince Holding Corp shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Vince Holding Corp further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Vince Holding future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vince Holding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vince Holding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Vince Holding Implied Volatility

Vince Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vince Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vince Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vince Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vince Holding's options are near their expiration.

Our Final Take On Vince Holding

Although other entities within the apparel manufacturing industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Vince Holding may offer a potential longer-term growth to shareholders. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither acquire nor trade any shares of Vince Holding at this time. The Vince Holding Corp risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Vince Holding.

Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Vince Holding Corp. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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