Vera Bradley Story

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VRA -- USA Stock  

USD 8.11  0.07  0.87%

As many millenniums are trying to avoid consumer cyclical space, it makes sense to go over Vera Bradley a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As we have suggested previously, Vera Bradley is beginning its slip as investors shift to be more bearish due to the increased sector volatility. Vera Bradley responds to the market. A lot of the movements of the company stock price movements has been a reflection of what is happening in the market overall. Strong basic indicators of the company may suggest signs of short-term price drift for investors. Vera Bradley is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The next earnings report is expected on the 10th of March 2021.
Published over a month ago
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Our current technical analysis of Vera Bradley (NASDAQ:VRA)
The company's average rating is Hold from 5 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Vera Bradley market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Vera Bradley. Let us look at a few aspects of Vera Bradley technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vera Bradley. In general, we focus on analyzing Vera Bradley stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Vera Bradley's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vera Bradley's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Vera Bradley, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Vera Bradley price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vera Bradley's stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vera Bradley in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vera Bradley. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vera Bradley's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vera Bradley's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Vera Bradley.

How does Vera Bradley Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Vera Bradley competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Vera Bradley across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Vera Bradley Competition Details

How Vera Bradley utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Vera Bradley, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Vera Bradley is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Vera Bradley cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. Vera Bradley Net Cash Flow from Operations is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Net Cash Flow from Operations was at 103.81 Million

Sale by Miller P Michael of 5284 shares of Vera Bradley

Legal trades by Vera Bradley insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Vera Bradley insider trading alert for sale of common shares by Miller P Michael, the corporate stakeholder, on 14th of January 2021. This event was filed by Vera Bradley Inc with SEC on 2021-01-14. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at Vera Bradley Downside Variance

Vera Bradley has current Downside Variance of 12.49. Downside Variance (or DV) is measured by target semi-variance and is termed downside volatility. It is expressed in percentages and therefore allows for rankings in the same way as variance. One way to view downside volatility is the annualized variance of returns below the target.

Downside Variance is the probability-weighted squared below-target returns. The squaring of the below-target returns has the effect of penalizing failures at an exponential rate. This is consistent with observations made on the behavior of individual decision-making under.

Downside Variance 
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N(ER) = Number of points with returns less than expected return for the period
Let's now compare Vera Bradley Downside Variance to its closest peers:

How will Vera Bradley investors react to the next slip?

Current Information Ratio is up to 0.03. Price may slip again. Vera Bradley shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Vera Bradley further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Vera Bradley future alpha.

Our Takeaway on Vera Bradley Investment

Whereas other companies in the footwear & accessories industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Vera Bradley may not be performing as strong as the other in terms of long-term growth potentials. While some investors may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Vera Bradley.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Vlad Skutelnik do not own shares of Vera Bradley. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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