Winnebago Story

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WGO -- USA Stock  

USD 67.56  1.95  2.97%

Winnebago Industries Invested Capital Average is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Invested Capital Average is estimated at 230.09 Million. Market Capitalization is expected to rise to about 739.2 M this year, although the value of Invested Capital will most likely fall to about 261 M. The fundamental goal of this short thesis is to break down our forecasting of Winnebago for institutional investors. We will try to forecast Winnebago Industries outlook for January.
Published over a month ago
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Are Winnebago (NYSE:WGO) institutional investors starting to hold back?
Winnebago Industries is OVERVALUED at 57.60 per share with modest projections ahead. Over 91.0% of Winnebago Industries outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. Institutional ownership of Winnebago Industries refers to the amount of Winnebago Industries equity owned by mutual funds, pension funds, insurance companies, investment firms, foundations, or other large entities that manage money on behalf of others. Check out our latest analysis of Winnebago, including its current ownership diagnostics.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winnebago Industries. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Winnebago Industries

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Winnebago Industries' stock price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Winnebago Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Winnebago Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Winnebago Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Winnebago Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Winnebago Industries.

How important is Winnebago Industries's Liquidity

Winnebago Industries financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Winnebago Industries ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Winnebago Industries financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Please check the breakdown between Winnebago Industries's total debt and its cash.

What do experts say?

Stock analysis is a method for investors and traders to make buying and selling decisions. By studying and evaluating past and current data, investors and traders attempt to gain an edge in the markets by making informed decisions. It is good to see analyst projects for Winnebago Industries, but it might be worth checking our own buy vs. sell analysis

Sale by Bret Woodson of 1850 shares of Winnebago Industries

Legal trades by Winnebago Industries insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Winnebago insider trading alert for sale of common stock $.50 par value by Bret Woodson, SVP-Human Resources, on 6th of January 2021. This event was filed by Winnebago Industries Inc with SEC on 2021-01-06. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4. Bret Woodson currently serves as senior vice president of human resources and corporate relations of Winnebago Industries [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

What is driving Winnebago Industries Investor Appetite?

The latest price rise of Winnebago Industries may raise some interest from institutional investors as it is trading at a share price of 62.67 on 3,409,943 in trading volume. The company executives may have good odds in positioning the company resources to exploit market volatility in January. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days investing horizon is currently 3.72. The above-average risk is mostly attributed to market volatility and speculations regarding some of the upcoming earning calls from Winnebago Industries partners.

Margin Breakdown

Profit Margin
Operating Margin
Operating Margin6.66
EBITDA Margin8.19
Gross Margin15.13
Profit Margin4.34

Our take on today Winnebago Industries rise

The expected short fall is down to -2.82 as of today. Winnebago Industries shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Winnebago Industries further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Winnebago Industries future alpha.

Our Final Takeaway

Whereas some companies under the recreational vehicles industry are still a bit expensive, Winnebago Industries may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. While some institutional investors may not share our view we believe that the current risk-reward utility is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Winnebago Industries.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Gabriel Shpitalnik do not own shares of Winnebago Industries. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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