Will Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) latest volatility spike continue?

Winnebago Industries is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.2531% on return distribution over 60 days investment horizon. As many conservative investors are still indifferent towards latest market risk, it is prudent, from our point of view, to outline Winnebago Industries' current volatility. What exactly are Winnebago Industries shareholders getting in July?
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The entity runs under Consumer Cyclical sector within Recreational Vehicles industry.
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Winnebago Industries or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Winnebago Industries may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Winnebago's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Winnebago Industries and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Winnebago Industries fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

How important is Winnebago Industries's Liquidity

Winnebago Industries financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Winnebago Industries ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Winnebago Industries financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Winnebago Industries' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Winnebago Industries' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Winnebago Industries's total debt and its cash.

Winnebago Industries Gross Profit

Winnebago Industries Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Winnebago Industries previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Winnebago Industries Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Winnebago Industries' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Winnebago Industries Volatility Drivers

Winnebago Industries unsystematic risk is unique to Winnebago Industries and usually not directly affected by the market or economic environment. An example of unsystematic risk is the possibility of poor earnings or a layoff due to coronavirus. One may mitigate nonsystematic risk by buying different securities in the same industry or by buying in different sectors. For example, if you have a position in Winnebago Industries you can also buy Brunswick. You can also mitigate this risk by investing in the consumer discretionary sector as well as in companies having nothing to do with it. This type of risk is also called diversifiable risk and can be understood from analyzing Winnebago Industries important indicators over time. Here we run a correlation analysis between relevant fundamental ratios over at least ten year period to find a relationship in the way they react to changes in Winnebago Industries income statement and balance sheet. Here are more details about Winnebago volatility.
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0.870.880.280.950.520.830.80.690.6-0.59-0.59-0.240.590.24-0.3-0.060.51-0.24-0.050.03-0.720.3
0.990.880.340.980.570.970.950.880.77-0.73-0.73-0.370.710.18-0.450.010.63-0.29-0.020.11-0.820.1
0.340.280.340.330.260.340.290.330.25-0.58-0.58-0.160.26-0.03-0.57-0.620.35-0.95-0.78-0.52-0.310.5
0.980.950.980.330.60.940.910.830.72-0.69-0.69-0.340.690.2-0.4-0.020.58-0.27-0.030.08-0.830.15
0.620.520.570.260.60.50.470.410.28-0.14-0.14-0.350.290.07-0.09-0.16-0.12-0.08-0.11-0.23-0.9-0.19
0.960.830.970.340.940.50.990.960.88-0.73-0.73-0.320.680.19-0.440.00.64-0.29-0.020.11-0.760.06
0.940.80.950.290.910.470.990.980.92-0.7-0.7-0.30.650.19-0.420.040.63-0.250.020.15-0.730.0
0.880.690.880.330.830.410.960.980.96-0.68-0.68-0.330.610.12-0.450.020.6-0.3-0.020.13-0.66-0.06
0.760.60.770.250.720.280.880.920.96-0.6-0.6-0.190.390.14-0.380.060.54-0.20.030.16-0.5-0.15
-0.71-0.59-0.73-0.58-0.69-0.14-0.73-0.7-0.68-0.61.00.27-0.55-0.10.75-0.02-0.930.550.12-0.210.51-0.45
-0.71-0.59-0.73-0.58-0.69-0.14-0.73-0.7-0.68-0.61.00.27-0.55-0.10.75-0.02-0.930.550.12-0.210.51-0.45
-0.38-0.24-0.37-0.16-0.34-0.35-0.32-0.3-0.33-0.190.270.27-0.440.810.71-0.47-0.050.15-0.3-0.450.440.01
0.710.590.710.260.690.290.680.650.610.39-0.55-0.55-0.440.08-0.33-0.10.56-0.4-0.130.01-0.560.26
0.180.240.18-0.030.20.070.190.190.120.14-0.1-0.10.810.080.57-0.520.290.03-0.32-0.45-0.110.07
-0.43-0.3-0.45-0.57-0.4-0.09-0.44-0.42-0.45-0.380.750.750.71-0.330.57-0.28-0.540.53-0.03-0.390.33-0.35
0.0-0.060.01-0.62-0.02-0.160.00.040.020.06-0.02-0.02-0.47-0.1-0.52-0.280.050.650.960.980.02-0.3
0.60.510.630.350.58-0.120.640.630.60.54-0.93-0.93-0.050.560.29-0.540.05-0.39-0.040.26-0.30.45
-0.28-0.24-0.29-0.95-0.27-0.08-0.29-0.25-0.3-0.20.550.550.15-0.40.030.530.65-0.390.820.540.17-0.57
-0.02-0.05-0.02-0.78-0.03-0.11-0.020.02-0.020.030.120.12-0.3-0.13-0.32-0.030.96-0.040.820.920.0-0.41
0.10.030.11-0.520.08-0.230.110.150.130.16-0.21-0.21-0.450.01-0.45-0.390.980.260.540.920.0-0.18
-0.86-0.72-0.82-0.31-0.83-0.9-0.76-0.73-0.66-0.50.510.510.44-0.56-0.110.330.02-0.30.170.00.00.04
0.060.30.10.50.15-0.190.060.0-0.06-0.15-0.45-0.450.010.260.07-0.35-0.30.45-0.57-0.41-0.180.04
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What is driving Winnebago Industries Investor Appetite?

The firm reported the last year's revenue of 4.32 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 346.18 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 650.36 M.

Will Winnebago pull back in July 2022?

Latest variance is at 12.4.
As of the 21st of June, Winnebago Industries maintains the mean deviation of 2.67, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.25). Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Winnebago Industries, as well as the relationship between them. Specifically, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past data patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Winnebago Industries, which can be compared to its rivals. Please check out Winnebago Industries variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Winnebago Industries is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 45.2 per share. Given that Winnebago Industries has jensen alpha of (0.08), we strongly advise you to confirm Winnebago Industries's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Our Final Take On Winnebago Industries

Whereas few other entities within the recreational vehicles industry are still a little expensive, even after the recent corrections, Winnebago Industries may offer a potential longer-term growth to institutional investors. With an impartial outlook on the current market volatility, it may be better to hold off any inventment activity and neither purchase nor exit any shares of Winnebago Industries at this time. The Winnebago Industries risk-reward trade off is not appealing enough to do any trading. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Winnebago Industries.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Winnebago Industries. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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