Xcel Brands Story

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XELB -- USA Stock  

USD 0.67  0.04  5.63%

As many millenniums are trying to avoid consumer cyclical space, it makes sense to go over Xcel Brands a little further and try to understand its current market patterns. As expected, Xcel Brands is starting to reaffirm its true potential as investors are becoming more and more confident in the future outlook. The company returns are correlated to returns on the market. As market fluctuates, the company is expected to follow. Weak basic indicators of the company may also suggest signs of long term losses for Xcel Brands investors. Xcel Brands is scheduled to announce its earnings today. The stock is undergoing an unusual volatility.
Published over a month ago
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Will Xcel Brands (NASDAQ:XELB) price continue to rise in September?
The entity's average rating is Strong Buy from 1 analysts. Do analysts base this consensus on technical analyses? We know that typical technical analysis utilizes price momentum, patterns, and trends looking at historical prices. It aims to identify signals based on Xcel Brands market sentiment investors' perception of the future value of Xcel Brands. Let us look at a few aspects of Xcel Brands technical analysis.
Using predictive technical analysis, we will analyze different prices and returns patterns and diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xcel Brands. In general, we focus on analyzing Xcel Brands stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environment and drivers. We also apply predictive analytics to build Xcel Brands's daily price indicators and compare them against related drivers such as momentum indicators and various other types of predictive indicators. Using this methodology combined with a more conventional technical analysis and fundamental analysis, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Xcel Brands's intrinsic value. In addition to deriving basic predictive indicators for Xcel Brands, we also check how macroeconomic factors affect Xcel Brands price patterns. Please read more on our technical analysis page or use our predictive modules below to complement your research.

Watch out for price decline

Please consider monitoring Xcel Brands on a daily bases if you are holding a position in it. Xcel Brands is trading at a penny-stock level, and the possibility of delisting is much higher compared to other equities. However, just because the stock is trading under one dollar, does not mean it will be marked for deletion. Most exchanges require public instruments, such as Xcel Brands stock to be traded above the $1 level to remain listed. If Xcel Brands stock price falls below $1 for 30 consecutive trading days, the exchange can delist it. Once the company reaches this point, they will be sent an initial price violation notice directly from an exchange.

How does Xcel Brands Stands against Peers?

Analyzing Xcel Brands competition or peers my help you to expand the diversification possibilities of your existing portfolios and to get a better perspective on locking in new positions. Try to analyze the advantages of investing in traded instruments related to Xcel Brands across multiple sectors and thematic ideas. A good competitive analysis can cover a lot of different areas. But what areas to choose depends on who you are. The more exhaustive you are in your analysis, the more effective your competitive analysis will be.
Check out Xcel Brands Competition Details

How Xcel Brands utilizes its cash?

To perform a cash flow analysis of Xcel Brands, investors first need to understand how to read the cash flow statement. A cash flow statement shows the amount of cash Xcel Brands is receiving and how much cash it distributes out in a given period. The Xcel Brands cash flow statement breaks down these inflows and outflows into different buckets, including operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

Xcel Brands exotic insider transaction detected

Legal trades by Xcel Brands insiders are very common, as founders, directors, or employees of any publicly traded firm often have stock or stock options. These trades are made public in the United States through the filing of Form 4 of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Below entry was recorded recently and is publicly available as an insider trade:
Xcel Brands insider trading alert for general transaction of common stock by Mark DiSanto, the corporate stakeholder, on 28th of September 2020. This event was filed by Xcel Brands Inc with SEC on 2020-09-28. Statement of changes in beneficial ownership - SEC Form 4 [view details]   
Note, although insider trading is legal, in the United States, Canada, Australia, and Germany, for mandatory reporting purposes, corporate insiders are defined as a company's officers, directors, and any beneficial owners of more than 10% of a class of the company's equity securities.

Closer look at Xcel Brands Variance

Xcel Brands has current Variance of 131.04. Variance is another measure of security risk that shows the amount of dispersion of equity returns around their mean value. Variance is calculated as the average squared deviations from the mean. Evaluating a set of investment alternatives one can use variance to help determine the volatility when purchasing a specific security. Similar to Standard Deviation, the variance is a measure of how far a set of numbers is spread out around its mean.

Variance is also a measure of stock volatility and can help determine the risk an investor might take on when purchasing a specific security. A relatively big variance indicates that the daily prices or returns are far from the mean and a small variance indicates that they are located around the mean.

Variance 
 = 
SUM(RET DEV)2 
 = 
131.04
SUM = Summation notation
RET DEV = Actual returns deviation over selected period
N = Number of points for the period
Let's now compare Xcel Brands Variance to its closest peers:
XELB
HMRZF
VFC
MONRF
HBI
XELB131.04
HMRZF11.64
VFC10.83
MONRF4.59
HBI19.99

Xcel Brands may start a turnaround in September

The maximum drawdown is down to 92.35 as of today. Xcel Brands is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Xcel Brands independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Xcel Brands volatility. Xcel Brands is a potential penny stock. Although Xcel Brands may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Xcel Brands. We encourage investors to look for the signals such us email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on this equity instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of an artificial hype usually unable to maintain its increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Our Takeaway on Xcel Brands Investment

Whereas many of the other players under the apparel manufacturing industry are still a bit expensive, Xcel Brands may offer a potential longer-term growth to investors. The inconsistency in the assessment between current Xcel Brands valuation and our trade advice on Xcel Brands is due to the recent market swings and your selection of investing horizon. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Xcel Brands.

About Contributor

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Raphi Shpitalnik do not own shares of Xcel Brands. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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