Will Zumiez (NASDAQ:ZUMZ) investors start to drop in July?

While many traders are getting carried away by overanalyzing consumer cyclical space, it is reasonable to break down Zumiez Inc. We will analyze why Zumiez investors may still consider a stake in the business. Is the stock valuation justified? Here I will cover 2021 perspective on the current valuation of Zumiez to give you a better outlook on taking a possible position in this stock.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Michael Smolkin

The company currently holds 313.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.57, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Zumiez Inc has a current ratio of 2.69, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Zumiez is UNDERVALUED at 46.78 per share with modest projections ahead.
We determine the current worth of Zumiez Inc using both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at its intrinsic value. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Zumiez Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Zumiez's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Zumiez's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Zumiez. We calculate exposure to Zumiez's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Zumiez's related companies.

Zumiez Inc Investment Alerts

Zumiez investment alerts and warnings help investors to get more proficient at understanding not only critical technical and fundamental signals but also the significant portfolio-centered indicators. These indicators include beta, alpha, and other risk-related measures that will help you in monitoring Zumiez Inc performance across your portfolios.Please check all investment alerts for Zumiez

Zumiez Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Zumiez value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Zumiez competition to find correlations between indicators driving the intrinsic value of Zumiez.

Zumiez Gross Profit

Zumiez Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Zumiez previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Zumiez Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Zumiez's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

Breaking it down

The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 990.65 M. Net Income was 76.23 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 353.42 M.

Margins Breakdown

Zumiez profit margins show the degree to which it makes money. Margin indicators are used not only by investors but also by creditors or Zumiez itself as indicators of financial health and management effectiveness. Please look more closely at the different varieties of Zumiez profit margins.
6.85
Profit Margin
9.79
Operating Margin
12.71
EBITDA Margin
Operating Margin9.79
EBITDA Margin12.71
Gross Margin37.21
Profit Margin6.85
Zumiez Average Equity is fairly stable at the moment. Moreover, Zumiez Earnings before Tax is increasing over the last 5 years.

Zumiez will most likely finish below $45 in 60 days

Current variance is at 8.2. Zumiez Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.23 and kurtosis of -0.2. However, we advise investors to further study Zumiez Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Zumiez's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Zumiez's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Our Conclusion on Zumiez

When is the right time to buy or sell Zumiez Inc? Buying stocks such as Zumiez isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities, deliver winning trades and diversify portfolios on a daily basis.
The bottom line, as of the 3rd of June 2021, our analysis shows that Zumiez slowly supersedes the market. The company is undervalued and projects low probability of bankruptcy for the next 2 years. Our up-to-date 90 days buy-hold-sell advice on the company is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Zumiez Inc. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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