Altria Stock Target Price and Analyst Consensus

MO
 Stock
  

USD 42.25  0.48  1.15%   

The current analyst and expert consensus on Altria is Hold with 6 hold recommendations. The current projected Altria target price consensus is 50.88 with 8 analyst opinions. One of the most common ways Altria Group analysts use to provide buy-or-sell recommendation to the public are conference calls analysis and financial statements evaluations. Some experts can also talk to Altria vendors, executives, and/or customers. Altria recommendation module provides expert sentiment on the projected Altria Group target price to derive its highest and lowest estimates based on target price standard deviation of 3.642. Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Altria to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.
  
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Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.14 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 14 B. Altria Debt Current is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Debt Current is estimated at 1.13 Billion. Goodwill and Intangible Assets is expected to rise to about 19.3 B this year, although the value of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income will most likely fall to (3.3 B).

Altria Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Altria target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Altria target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions10
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Hold
Most Altria analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Altria stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Altria Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Altria Target Price Projection

Altria's current and average target prices are 42.25 and 50.88, respectively. The current price of Altria is the price at which Altria Group is currently trading. On the other hand, Altria's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Altria Market Quote on 2nd of July 2022

Low Price41.27Odds
High Price42.32Odds

42.25

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Altria Target Price

Low Estimate46.0Odds
High Estimate56.0Odds
Number of Analysts8
Standard Deviation3.642

50.875

Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Altria Group and the information provided on this page.

Altria Analyst Ratings

Altria's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Altria stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Altria's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Altria's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Analyst Consensus Breakdown

Average Consensus Estimates

About Altria Target Price Projections

Altria's target price is an analyst's projection of its future price. Price targets can be assigned to all types of securities, from complex investment products to stocks such as Altria Group and even bonds. If the target price is unavailable, it is most likely because there were not enough analyst opinions to come up with a consensus estimate. When setting a price target estimate, an analyst is trying to determine what the Stock is worth and where the price will be in a year from now. Generally, the target price of Altria depends on its intrinsic valuation, beta (i.e., risk over market), and overall volatility. Most analysts publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with their buy, hold, or sell recommendations. Stock price targets are often quoted in the financial news media. Macroaxis uses multiple feeds to provide overall target price projection for Altria Group including analysis of its current option contracts.
Altria's latest option contracts expiring on 2022-07-08 are carrying combined implied volatility of 25.37 with a put-to-call open interest ratio of 0.76 over 102 outstanding agreements suggesting investors are buying slightly more calls than puts on contracts expiring on 2022-07-08. The current put volume is at 1356, with calls trading at the volume of 4340. This yields a 0.31 put-to-call volume ratio. The Altria option chain provides detailed quote and price information for the current Altria Group option contracts. It shows all of Altria's listed puts, calls, expiration dates, strike prices, and other pricing information.

Open Interest Against 2022-07-08 Option Contracts

Altria option prices can potentially be used to forecast stock returns because most option chains provide information not only about the current prices but also about the future conditions in Altria's lending market. For example, when Altria's puts are not actively trading or completely missing in the marketplace, investors can use it to internalize expected shorting costs. So if an investor is writing a put option on Altria, he or she must hedge the risk by shorting Altria stock over its option's life.
The chart above shows Altria's distribution of open interest by maturity on contracts that have not yet been settled. The area between the two highest points is the projection of the price at expiration. Altria's open interest chart also provides vital information regarding the liquidity of an option. If there is no open interest for Altria's option, there is no secondary market available for investors to trade.

Altria Maximum Pain Price across 2022-07-08 Option Contracts

Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of particular securities such as Altria close to expiration to expire worthless. According to most research, approximately 10% to 15% of all stock options are exercised, while about 35% expire worthlessly, with roughly 50% traded out before the expiration date. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net positive position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthless.
Altria's stock options are financial instruments that give investors the right to buy or sell shares of Altria Group common stock at a specified price for a given time period. Generally speaking, an option to purchase or sell Altria stock makes it part of the underlying stock when the option's price is tied to the movement of the underlying stock. If Altria's stock price goes up or down, the stock options follow.
Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Altria to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon.

Altria Group In The Money Call Balance

When Altria's strike price is surpassing the current stock price, the option contract against Altria Group stock is said to be in the money. When it comes to buying Altria's options that are 'In the Money' or 'Out of the Money', the choice depends on your outlook for the underlying security, financial situation, and what you are trying to achieve.
While 'out-of-the-money' options written on Altria Group are typically viewed as the more aggressive, there are potential upsides to purchasing these types of options contracts. For one, the cost to buy an 'Out of the Money' option is lower than the cost to buy an 'In the Money' option. This cost-benefit is due to the fact that at the time of the purchase, 'Out of the Money' contracts have no intrinsic value. So, while the potential for a 100% loss is more significant, the cost and risk to enter the trade are lower.

Altria Current Options Market Mood

Altria's open interest and total value indicators provide investors with the necessary information to digest the overall options buildup for its expiring contracts. In addition, it helps Altria Stock's traders understand whether a recent fall or rise in the market is unreasonable and if the time has come to take contrarian positions. These ratios are calculated based on options trading volumes and current open interest.

Put-to-Call Open Interest

Put-to-Call Volume

Most options investors, including buyers and sellers of Altria's calls and puts, are not very successful. It is estimated that an average options trader loses somewhere between 80% to 90% of the time. Altria's option open interest and volume spread between outstanding puts and calls are regarded by many investors as reliable indicators of the overall future market direction. Using current Altria's option volume and open interest to make an investment decision is considered a contrarian-sentiment measure that can be utilized in many timing strategies in both derivative and spot marketplace.

Additional Altria Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Altria is a key component of Altria valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Altria.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Altria in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
39.7341.9444.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.0741.2843.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
40.8843.0945.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.604.624.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Altria Group.

Additional Altria Value Projection Modules

Most investment researchers agree that the mispricing and readjustment of any Stock value happens often and is sometimes even predictable, but there is no strong theory explaining why it happens. The current price of Altria is a key component of Altria valuation and have some predictive power on the future returns of a Altria.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altria's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Altria in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
39.7341.9444.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
39.0741.2843.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
40.8843.0945.29
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.604.624.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altria. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altria's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altria's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Altria Group.

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Additionally, see Macroaxis Advice on Altria to cross-verify analyst projections. Unlike analyst recommendations, Macroaxis provides advice only from the perspective of investor risk tolerance and investment horizon. Note that the Altria Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Altria's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Altria Group price analysis, check to measure Altria's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altria is operating at the current time. Most of Altria's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altria's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altria's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altria to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The data published in Altria's official financial statements usually reflect Altria's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Altria Group. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Altria accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Altria's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Consumer Defensive space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Altria's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Altria's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Altria's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Altria Group. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Altria's management to manipulate its earnings.