First Majestic Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| AG Stock | USD 7.49 0.03 0.40% |
First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast First Majestic stock prices and determine the direction of First Majestic Silver's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Majestic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although First Majestic's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of First Majestic's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of First Majestic fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Majestic to cross-verify your projections. First |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 First Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Majestic's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Majestic's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Majestic stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Majestic's open interest, investors have to compare it to First Majestic's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Majestic is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in First Majestic cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the First Majestic's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets First Majestic's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which First Majestic is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of First Majestic Silver to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by First Majestic trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Check First Majestic Volatility | Backtest First Majestic | Information Ratio |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare First Majestic to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for First Majestic
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Majestic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Majestic's price trends.First Majestic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Majestic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Majestic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Majestic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Majestic Silver Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Majestic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Majestic's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
First Majestic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Majestic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Majestic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Majestic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Majestic Silver entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Majestic Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Majestic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Majestic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.09 | |||
| Variance | 16.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.57 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
First Majestic Investors Sentiment
The influence of First Majestic's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in First. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to First Majestic's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Majestic Silver. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
First Majestic's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for First Majestic's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average First Majestic's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on First Majestic.
First Majestic Implied Volatility | 279.88 |
First Majestic's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Majestic Silver stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Majestic's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Majestic stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Majestic's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards First Majestic in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, First Majestic's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from First Majestic options trading.
Pair Trading with First Majestic
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Majestic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Majestic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with First Stock
| 0.93 | AA | Alcoa Corp Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
Moving against First Stock
| 0.66 | NC | NACCO Industries | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | X | United States Steel Financial Report 25th of April 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.5 | VALE | Vale SA ADR Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Majestic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Majestic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Majestic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Majestic Silver to buy it.
The correlation of First Majestic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Majestic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Majestic Silver moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Majestic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Majestic to cross-verify your projections. Note that the First Majestic Silver information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other First Majestic's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Majestic's price analysis, check to measure First Majestic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Majestic is operating at the current time. Most of First Majestic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Majestic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Majestic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Majestic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is First Majestic's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Majestic. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Majestic listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.359 | Dividend Share 0.02 | Earnings Share (0.48) | Revenue Per Share 2.032 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of First Majestic Silver is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Majestic's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Majestic's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Majestic's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Majestic's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Majestic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Majestic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Majestic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.