American Century Polynomial Regression

AMDVX -- USA Fund  

USD 16.68  0.03  0.18%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast American Century historic prices and determine the direction of American Century Mid Cap Value future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of American Century historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check also Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Century to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
American Century polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for American Century Mid Cap Value as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of American Century Mid Cap Value on the next trading day is expected to be 16.419711

American Century Mid Prediction Pattern

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American Century Forecasted Value

Market Value
December 8, 2019
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria114.3827
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1215
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors7.4129
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the American Century historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Volatility Measures

American Century Risk Indicators