PF Atlantic Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ATLA-DKK | DKK 2.44 0.10 3.94% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PF Atlantic Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 2.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00. ATLA-DKK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast PF Atlantic stock prices and determine the direction of PF Atlantic Petroleum's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PF Atlantic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PF Atlantic to cross-verify your projections. ATLA-DKK |
Most investors in PF Atlantic cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the PF Atlantic's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets PF Atlantic's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
PF Atlantic simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for PF Atlantic Petroleum are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as PF Atlantic Petroleum prices get older. PF Atlantic Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of PF Atlantic Petroleum on the next trading day is expected to be 2.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ATLA-DKK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PF Atlantic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PF Atlantic Stock Forecast Pattern
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PF Atlantic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PF Atlantic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PF Atlantic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.06, respectively. We have considered PF Atlantic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PF Atlantic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PF Atlantic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9073 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0039 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0833 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0321 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.9987 |
Predictive Modules for PF Atlantic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PF Atlantic Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PF Atlantic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for PF Atlantic
For every potential investor in ATLA-DKK, whether a beginner or expert, PF Atlantic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ATLA-DKK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ATLA-DKK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PF Atlantic's price trends.PF Atlantic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PF Atlantic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PF Atlantic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PF Atlantic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PF Atlantic Petroleum Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PF Atlantic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PF Atlantic's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
PF Atlantic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PF Atlantic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PF Atlantic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PF Atlantic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PF Atlantic Petroleum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
PF Atlantic Risk Indicators
The analysis of PF Atlantic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PF Atlantic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atla-dkk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.47 | |||
| Variance | 20.01 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards PF Atlantic in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, PF Atlantic's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from PF Atlantic options trading.
Pair Trading with PF Atlantic
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PF Atlantic position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PF Atlantic will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against ATLA-DKK Stock
| 0.44 | VJBA | Vestjysk Bank AS | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PF Atlantic could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PF Atlantic when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PF Atlantic - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PF Atlantic Petroleum to buy it.
The correlation of PF Atlantic is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PF Atlantic moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PF Atlantic Petroleum moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PF Atlantic can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PF Atlantic to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for ATLA-DKK Stock analysis
When running PF Atlantic's price analysis, check to measure PF Atlantic's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PF Atlantic is operating at the current time. Most of PF Atlantic's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PF Atlantic's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PF Atlantic's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PF Atlantic to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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