Flanigans Enterprises Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

BDL Stock  USD 25.57  1.63  5.99%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flanigans Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 25.45 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.40  and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.09. Flanigans Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Flanigans Enterprises stock prices and determine the direction of Flanigans Enterprises's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Flanigans Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Flanigans Enterprises' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Flanigans Enterprises' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Flanigans Enterprises fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flanigans Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Flanigans Stock please use our How to buy in Flanigans Stock guide.
  
Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 2.29 this year, although the value of Inventory Turnover will most likely fall to 13.28. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 1.5 M. The value of Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to slide to about 2.8 M.
Most investors in Flanigans Enterprises cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Flanigans Enterprises' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Flanigans Enterprises' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Flanigans Enterprises - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Flanigans Enterprises prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Flanigans Enterprises price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Flanigans Enterprises.

Flanigans Enterprises Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Flanigans Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 25.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.40, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 24.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flanigans Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flanigans Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Flanigans Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

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Flanigans Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Flanigans Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flanigans Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.39 and 27.51, respectively. We have considered Flanigans Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.57
25.45
Expected Value
27.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flanigans Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flanigans Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1195
MADMean absolute deviation0.4015
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0155
SAESum of the absolute errors24.09
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Flanigans Enterprises observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Flanigans Enterprises observations.

Predictive Modules for Flanigans Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flanigans Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flanigans Enterprises' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.5225.5727.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.7121.7628.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.0825.2526.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Flanigans Enterprises. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Flanigans Enterprises' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Flanigans Enterprises' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Flanigans Enterprises.

Other Forecasting Options for Flanigans Enterprises

For every potential investor in Flanigans, whether a beginner or expert, Flanigans Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flanigans Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flanigans. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flanigans Enterprises' price trends.

Flanigans Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flanigans Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flanigans Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flanigans Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Flanigans Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Flanigans Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Flanigans Enterprises' current price.

Flanigans Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flanigans Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flanigans Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flanigans Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flanigans Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Flanigans Enterprises Risk Indicators

The analysis of Flanigans Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flanigans Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flanigans stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Flanigans Enterprises in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Flanigans Enterprises' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Flanigans Enterprises options trading.

Pair Trading with Flanigans Enterprises

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Flanigans Enterprises position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Flanigans Enterprises will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Flanigans Enterprises could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Flanigans Enterprises when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Flanigans Enterprises - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Flanigans Enterprises to buy it.
The correlation of Flanigans Enterprises is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Flanigans Enterprises moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Flanigans Enterprises moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Flanigans Enterprises can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Flanigans Enterprises is a strong investment it is important to analyze Flanigans Enterprises' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Flanigans Enterprises' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Flanigans Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flanigans Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Flanigans Stock please use our How to buy in Flanigans Stock guide.
Note that the Flanigans Enterprises information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Flanigans Enterprises' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.

Complementary Tools for Flanigans Stock analysis

When running Flanigans Enterprises' price analysis, check to measure Flanigans Enterprises' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flanigans Enterprises is operating at the current time. Most of Flanigans Enterprises' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flanigans Enterprises' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flanigans Enterprises' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flanigans Enterprises to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Flanigans Enterprises' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flanigans Enterprises. If investors know Flanigans will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flanigans Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
1.87
Revenue Per Share
73.7 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.078
Return On Assets
0.045
The market value of Flanigans Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flanigans that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flanigans Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flanigans Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flanigans Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flanigans Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flanigans Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flanigans Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flanigans Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.