C WorldWide Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CWIEMMKL  DKK 318.60  0.80  0.25%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of C WorldWide Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 312.96 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.51  and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.95. CWIEMMKL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast C WorldWide stock prices and determine the direction of C WorldWide Emerging's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of C WorldWide's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out fundamental analysis of C WorldWide to check your projections.
  
Most investors in C WorldWide cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the C WorldWide's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets C WorldWide's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for C WorldWide is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of C WorldWide Emerging value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

C WorldWide Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of C WorldWide Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 312.96 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.51, mean absolute percentage error of 3.64, and the sum of the absolute errors of 91.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CWIEMMKL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that C WorldWide's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

C WorldWide Stock Forecast Pattern

C WorldWide Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting C WorldWide's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. C WorldWide's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 312.24 and 313.69, respectively. We have considered C WorldWide's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
318.60
312.24
Downside
312.96
Expected Value
313.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of C WorldWide stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent C WorldWide stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.4015
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5074
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0048
SAESum of the absolute errors91.9523
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of C WorldWide Emerging. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict C WorldWide. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for C WorldWide

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as C WorldWide Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of C WorldWide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
317.87318.60319.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
316.47317.20350.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
308.25317.76327.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as C WorldWide. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against C WorldWide's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, C WorldWide's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in C WorldWide Emerging.

Other Forecasting Options for C WorldWide

For every potential investor in CWIEMMKL, whether a beginner or expert, C WorldWide's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CWIEMMKL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CWIEMMKL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying C WorldWide's price trends.

C WorldWide Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with C WorldWide stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of C WorldWide could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing C WorldWide by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

C WorldWide Emerging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of C WorldWide's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of C WorldWide's current price.

C WorldWide Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how C WorldWide stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading C WorldWide shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying C WorldWide stock market strength indicators, traders can identify C WorldWide Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

C WorldWide Risk Indicators

The analysis of C WorldWide's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in C WorldWide's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cwiemmkl stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards C WorldWide in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, C WorldWide's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from C WorldWide options trading.

Pair Trading with C WorldWide

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if C WorldWide position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in C WorldWide will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with CWIEMMKL Stock

  0.84NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr

Moving against CWIEMMKL Stock

  0.87MAERSK-B AP MllerPairCorr
  0.83MAERSK-A AP MllerPairCorr
  0.82SPENN SPENN TechnologyPairCorr
  0.71DSV DSV Panalpina AS Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.49VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to C WorldWide could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace C WorldWide when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back C WorldWide - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling C WorldWide Emerging to buy it.
The correlation of C WorldWide is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as C WorldWide moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if C WorldWide Emerging moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for C WorldWide can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out fundamental analysis of C WorldWide to check your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

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When running C WorldWide's price analysis, check to measure C WorldWide's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy C WorldWide is operating at the current time. Most of C WorldWide's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of C WorldWide's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move C WorldWide's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of C WorldWide to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between C WorldWide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if C WorldWide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, C WorldWide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.