Discover Financial Stock Forecast - Daily Balance Of Power
| DFS Stock | USD 129.02 0.22 0.17% |
Discover Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Discover Financial stock prices and determine the direction of Discover Financial Services's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Discover Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Discover Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Discover Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Discover Financial fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Discover Financial to cross-verify your projections. Discover |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-26 Discover Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Discover Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Discover Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Discover Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Discover Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Discover Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Discover Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Discover. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Discover Financial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Discover Financial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Discover Financial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Balance of Power indicator (or BOP) measures the strength of Discover Financial Services market sensitivity to bulls and bears. It estimates the ability of Discover Financial buyers and sellers to push price to an extreme high or extreme low level. As a result, by monitoring Discover Financial Balance of Power indicator one can determine a trend of the price direction.| Previous Daily Balance Of Power | Daily Balance Of Power | Trend |
| 0.2542 | (0.07) |
| Check Discover Financial Volatility | Backtest Discover Financial | Information Ratio |
Discover Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On April 25 2024 Discover Financial Services was traded for 129.02 at the closing time. Highest Discover Financial's price during the trading hours was 130.57 and the lowest price during the day was 127.58 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of April did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.59% . |
Balance of Power indicator was created by Igor Livshin to predict asset short term price movements or warning signals. If Balance of Power indicator is trended towards the high of its range it will signify that the bulls are in control. On the other hand when the BOP indicator is moving towards the lows of its range it signifies that the bears are in control. If the indicator move from a high positive range to a lower positive range it signifies that the buying pressure is decreasing. Conversely, if the indicator move from a low negative range to a higher negative range it signifies that the selling pressure is decreasing.
| Compare Discover Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Discover Financial
For every potential investor in Discover, whether a beginner or expert, Discover Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Discover Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Discover. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Discover Financial's price trends.Discover Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Discover Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Discover Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Discover Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Discover Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Discover Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Discover Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Discover Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Discover Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Discover Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Discover Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Discover Financial Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0229 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 129.07 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 129.06 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.22) |
Discover Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Discover Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Discover Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting discover stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Discover Financial Investors Sentiment
The influence of Discover Financial's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Discover. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Discover Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Discover. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Discover can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Discover Financial Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Discover Financial's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Discover Financial's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Discover Financial's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Discover Financial.
Discover Financial Implied Volatility | 62.26 |
Discover Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Discover Financial Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Discover Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Discover Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Discover Financial's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Discover Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Discover Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Discover Financial options trading.
Pair Trading with Discover Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Discover Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Discover Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Discover Stock
| 0.86 | CG | Carlyle Group Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against Discover Stock
| 0.83 | AJX | Great Ajax Corp Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.65 | EFC | Ellington Financial LLC Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Discover Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Discover Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Discover Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Discover Financial Services to buy it.
The correlation of Discover Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Discover Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Discover Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Discover Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Discover Financial to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Discover Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Discover Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Discover Stock analysis
When running Discover Financial's price analysis, check to measure Discover Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Discover Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Discover Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Discover Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Discover Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Discover Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Discover Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Discover Financial. If investors know Discover will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Discover Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 2.8 | Earnings Share 8.79 | Revenue Per Share 39.45 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.294 |
The market value of Discover Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Discover that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Discover Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Discover Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Discover Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Discover Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Discover Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Discover Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Discover Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.