MFS Diversified Polynomial Regression

DIFEX -- USA Fund  

USD 13.16  0.01  0.08%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast MFS Diversified historic prices and determine the direction of MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of MFS Diversified historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Additionally see Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Diversified to cross-verify your projections.
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Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
MFS Diversified polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of MFS Diversified Income Fund Cla on the next trading day is expected to be 13.131376

MFS Diversified Income Prediction Pattern

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MFS Diversified Forecasted Value

November 21, 2019
13.16
Market Value
13.13
Expected Value
13.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria111.7629
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0349
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0027
SAESum of the absolute errors2.126
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the MFS Diversified historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Volatility Measures

MFS Diversified Risk Indicators

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