DAITO TRUST 4 Period Moving Average

DIFTY -- USA Stock  

USD 31.97  0.03  0.09%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast DAITO TRUST historic prices and determine the direction of DAITO TRUST CONSTRUCTION CO future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of DAITO TRUST historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Additionally see Historical Fundamental Analysis of DAITO TRUST to cross-verify your projections.
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Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
A four-period moving average forecast model for DAITO TRUST CONSTRUCTION CO is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of DAITO TRUST CONSTRUCTION CO on the next trading day is expected to be 31.92

DAITO TRUST CONSTRUC Prediction Pattern

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DAITO TRUST Forecasted Value

November 14, 2019
31.97
Market Value
31.92
Expected Value
36.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria109.6342
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0231
MADMean absolute deviation0.4182
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0129
SAESum of the absolute errors23.8375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of DAITO TRUST. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for DAITO TRUST CONSTRUCTION CO and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Volatility Measures

DAITO TRUST Risk Indicators

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