Elanco Animal Stock Forecast - Day Median Price
| ELAN Stock | USD 13.57 0.16 1.19% |
Elanco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Elanco Animal stock prices and determine the direction of Elanco Animal Health's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Elanco Animal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Elanco Animal's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Elanco Animal's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Elanco Animal fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elanco Animal to cross-verify your projections. Elanco |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Elanco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Elanco Animal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Elanco Animal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Elanco Animal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Elanco Animal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Elanco Animal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Elanco Animal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Elanco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Elanco Animal cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Elanco Animal's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Elanco Animal's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Median Price is the statistical median of an asset price for a given trading period.| Previous Day Median Price | Day Median Price | Trend |
| 13.54 | 13.54 |
| Check Elanco Animal Volatility | Backtest Elanco Animal | Information Ratio |
Elanco Animal Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Elanco Animal Health was traded for 13.57 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 13.74 and the lowest listed price was 13.33 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on April 19, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.11% . |
The median price is the midpoint of the trading periods range.
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Other Forecasting Options for Elanco Animal
For every potential investor in Elanco, whether a beginner or expert, Elanco Animal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Elanco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Elanco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Elanco Animal's price trends.Elanco Animal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Elanco Animal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Elanco Animal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Elanco Animal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Elanco Animal Health Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Elanco Animal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Elanco Animal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Elanco Animal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Elanco Animal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Elanco Animal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Elanco Animal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Elanco Animal Health entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Elanco Animal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Elanco Animal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Elanco Animal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting elanco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.83 | |||
| Variance | 3.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Elanco Animal Investors Sentiment
The influence of Elanco Animal's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Elanco. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Elanco Animal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Elanco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Elanco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Elanco Animal Health. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Elanco Animal's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Elanco Animal's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Elanco Animal's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Elanco Animal.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Elanco Animal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Elanco Animal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Elanco Animal options trading.
Pair Trading with Elanco Animal
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Elanco Animal position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Elanco Animal will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Elanco Stock
| 0.59 | VALN | Valneva SE ADR Financial Report 2nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | DOMH | Dominari Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.52 | SABSW | SAB Biotherapeutics | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | VIRI | Virios Therapeutics Llc Financial Report 9th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | YS | YS Biopharma Report 22nd of April 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Elanco Animal could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Elanco Animal when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Elanco Animal - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Elanco Animal Health to buy it.
The correlation of Elanco Animal is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Elanco Animal moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Elanco Animal Health moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Elanco Animal can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Elanco Animal to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Elanco Animal Health information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Elanco Animal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Elanco Stock analysis
When running Elanco Animal's price analysis, check to measure Elanco Animal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Elanco Animal is operating at the current time. Most of Elanco Animal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Elanco Animal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Elanco Animal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Elanco Animal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Elanco Animal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Elanco Animal. If investors know Elanco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Elanco Animal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.097 | Earnings Share (2.50) | Revenue Per Share 8.972 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.051 | Return On Assets 0.0139 |
The market value of Elanco Animal Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Elanco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Elanco Animal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Elanco Animal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Elanco Animal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Elanco Animal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Elanco Animal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Elanco Animal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Elanco Animal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.