Fidelity Momentum Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| FDMO Etf | USD 57.97 1.09 1.92% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fidelity Momentum Factor on the next trading day is expected to be 57.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05. Fidelity Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fidelity Momentum stock prices and determine the direction of Fidelity Momentum Factor's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fidelity Momentum's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fidelity Momentum to cross-verify your projections. Fidelity |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Fidelity Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fidelity Momentum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fidelity Momentum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fidelity Momentum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fidelity Momentum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fidelity Momentum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fidelity Momentum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fidelity. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Fidelity Momentum cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, etf markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fidelity Momentum's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fidelity Momentum's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Fidelity Momentum works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Fidelity Momentum Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fidelity Momentum Factor on the next trading day is expected to be 57.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fidelity Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fidelity Momentum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fidelity Momentum Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fidelity Momentum | Fidelity Momentum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fidelity Momentum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fidelity Momentum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fidelity Momentum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.95 and 58.90, respectively. We have considered Fidelity Momentum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fidelity Momentum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fidelity Momentum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1155 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4842 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0084 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.0528 |
Predictive Modules for Fidelity Momentum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fidelity Momentum Factor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fidelity Momentum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Fidelity Momentum
For every potential investor in Fidelity, whether a beginner or expert, Fidelity Momentum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fidelity Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fidelity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fidelity Momentum's price trends.Fidelity Momentum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fidelity Momentum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fidelity Momentum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fidelity Momentum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fidelity Momentum Factor Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fidelity Momentum's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fidelity Momentum's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fidelity Momentum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fidelity Momentum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fidelity Momentum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fidelity Momentum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Fidelity Momentum Factor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 60.93 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 3.114286 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.86 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.71 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.09 |
Fidelity Momentum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fidelity Momentum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fidelity Momentum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fidelity etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7254 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7467 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9305 | |||
| Variance | 0.8659 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7718 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5575 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fidelity Momentum to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
The market value of Fidelity Momentum Factor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fidelity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fidelity Momentum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fidelity Momentum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fidelity Momentum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fidelity Momentum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fidelity Momentum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fidelity Momentum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fidelity Momentum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.