FG Annuities Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FG Stock  USD 37.10  0.58  1.54%   
FG Annuities Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast FG Annuities stock prices and determine the direction of FG Annuities Life's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of FG Annuities historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although FG Annuities naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of FG Annuities Life systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FG Annuities fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FG Annuities to cross-verify your projections.
  
The FG Annuities' current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.63, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to (0). . The FG Annuities' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 580.8 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 68.5 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 FG Annuities Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FG Annuities' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest FG Annuities' options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies FG Annuities stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FG Annuities' open interest, investors have to compare it to FG Annuities' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FG Annuities is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FG Annuities. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in FG Annuities cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the FG Annuities' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets FG Annuities' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
FG Annuities polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for FG Annuities Life as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

FG Annuities Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of FG Annuities Life on the next trading day is expected to be 33.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.72, mean absolute percentage error of 3.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 106.58.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FG Annuities Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FG Annuities' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

FG Annuities Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FG AnnuitiesFG Annuities Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

FG Annuities Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting FG Annuities' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FG Annuities' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.81 and 35.70, respectively. We have considered FG Annuities' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.10
33.26
Expected Value
35.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FG Annuities stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FG Annuities stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2674
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7191
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0413
SAESum of the absolute errors106.5813
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the FG Annuities historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for FG Annuities

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FG Annuities Life. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of FG Annuities' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of FG Annuities in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.8837.3039.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6333.0540.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.4941.4649.43
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
26.3929.0032.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FG Annuities. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FG Annuities' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FG Annuities' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FG Annuities Life.

Other Forecasting Options for FG Annuities

For every potential investor in FG Annuities, whether a beginner or expert, FG Annuities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FG Annuities Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FG Annuities. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FG Annuities' price trends.

FG Annuities Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FG Annuities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FG Annuities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FG Annuities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
MetLife Preferred StockMetLife Preferred StockMetLife Preferred StockAbacus LifeAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOneCVS Health CorpChevron CorpHome DepotInternational BusinessIntel
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FG Annuities Life Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of FG Annuities' price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of FG Annuities' current price.

FG Annuities Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FG Annuities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FG Annuities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FG Annuities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FG Annuities Life entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

FG Annuities Risk Indicators

The analysis of FG Annuities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FG Annuities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting FG Annuities stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether FG Annuities Life offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of FG Annuities' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fg Annuities Life Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fg Annuities Life Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FG Annuities to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the FG Annuities Life information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FG Annuities' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for FG Annuities Stock analysis

When running FG Annuities' price analysis, check to measure FG Annuities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FG Annuities is operating at the current time. Most of FG Annuities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FG Annuities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FG Annuities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FG Annuities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FG Annuities' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FG Annuities. If investors know FG Annuities will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FG Annuities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.638
Dividend Share
0.82
Earnings Share
(0.47)
Revenue Per Share
36.589
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.498
The market value of FG Annuities Life is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FG Annuities that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FG Annuities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FG Annuities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FG Annuities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FG Annuities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FG Annuities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FG Annuities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FG Annuities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.