1st Capital OTC Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FISB Stock | USD 10.52 0.18 1.68% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1st Capital Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 10.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.05. 1st OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 1st Capital stock prices and determine the direction of 1st Capital Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 1st Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1st Capital to cross-verify your projections. 1st |
Most investors in 1st Capital cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the 1st Capital's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets 1st Capital's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for 1st Capital - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When 1st Capital prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in 1st Capital price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of 1st Capital Bank. 1st Capital Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of April
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of 1st Capital Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 10.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1st OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1st Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
1st Capital OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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1st Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 1st Capital's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1st Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.68 and 11.30, respectively. We have considered 1st Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1st Capital otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1st Capital otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0105 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0347 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0031 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0468 |
Predictive Modules for 1st Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Capital Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1st Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for 1st Capital
For every potential investor in 1st, whether a beginner or expert, 1st Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1st OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1st. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1st Capital's price trends.1st Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1st Capital otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1st Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1st Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1st Capital Bank Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of 1st Capital's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of 1st Capital's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
1st Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1st Capital otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1st Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1st Capital otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 1st Capital Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.52 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.52 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.18) |
1st Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of 1st Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1st Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1st otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4097 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7865 | |||
| Variance | 0.6187 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Complementary Tools for 1st OTC Stock analysis
When running 1st Capital's price analysis, check to measure 1st Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Capital is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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