Golub Capital Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
GBDC Stock | USD 15.83 0.14 0.88% |
Golub Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Golub Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Golub Capital BDC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Golub Capital historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Golub Capital naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Golub Capital BDC systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Golub Capital fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golub Capital to cross-verify your projections. Golub |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Golub Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Golub Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Golub Capital's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Golub Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Golub Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Golub Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Golub Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Golub. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Golub Capital cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Golub Capital's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Golub Capital's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
0.095 | (0.14) |
Check Golub Capital Volatility | Backtest Golub Capital | Information Ratio |
Golub Capital Trading Date Momentum
On March 18 2024 Golub Capital BDC was traded for 15.83 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 15.97 and the lowest listed price was 15.82 . The trading volume for the day was 574.2 K. The trading history from March 18, 2024 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.63% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
Compare Golub Capital to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Golub Capital
For every potential investor in Golub, whether a beginner or expert, Golub Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golub Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golub. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golub Capital's price trends.Golub Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golub Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golub Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golub Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golub Capital BDC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Golub Capital's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Golub Capital's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Golub Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golub Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golub Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golub Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golub Capital BDC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Accumulation Distribution | 5393.57 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.93) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 15.9 | |||
Day Typical Price | 15.87 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (0.14) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.14) |
Golub Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golub Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golub Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Golub Capital stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 0.6139 | |||
Semi Deviation | 0.6591 | |||
Standard Deviation | 0.7823 | |||
Variance | 0.6119 | |||
Downside Variance | 0.7286 | |||
Semi Variance | 0.4344 | |||
Expected Short fall | (0.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Golub Capital Investors Sentiment
The influence of Golub Capital's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Golub. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Golub Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Golub. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Golub can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Golub Capital BDC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Golub Capital's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Golub Capital's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Golub Capital's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Golub Capital.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Golub Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Golub Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Golub Capital options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golub Capital to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Golub Capital BDC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Golub Capital's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Golub Stock analysis
When running Golub Capital's price analysis, check to measure Golub Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golub Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Golub Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golub Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golub Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golub Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Golub Capital's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golub Capital. If investors know Golub will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golub Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.984 | Dividend Share 1.4 | Earnings Share 1.82 | Revenue Per Share 3.711 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.204 |
The market value of Golub Capital BDC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golub that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golub Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golub Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golub Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golub Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golub Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golub Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golub Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.