Groenlandsbanken Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

GRLA Stock  DKK 640.00  5.00  0.78%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Groenlandsbanken AS on the next trading day is expected to be 639.08 with a mean absolute deviation of  5.41  and the sum of the absolute errors of 319.16. Groenlandsbanken Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Groenlandsbanken stock prices and determine the direction of Groenlandsbanken AS's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Groenlandsbanken's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Groenlandsbanken to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Groenlandsbanken cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Groenlandsbanken's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Groenlandsbanken's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Triple exponential smoothing for Groenlandsbanken - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Groenlandsbanken prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Groenlandsbanken price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Groenlandsbanken.

Groenlandsbanken Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Groenlandsbanken AS on the next trading day is expected to be 639.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.41, mean absolute percentage error of 85.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 319.16.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Groenlandsbanken Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Groenlandsbanken's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Groenlandsbanken Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest GroenlandsbankenGroenlandsbanken Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Groenlandsbanken Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Groenlandsbanken's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Groenlandsbanken's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 637.75 and 640.41, respectively. We have considered Groenlandsbanken's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
640.00
637.75
Downside
639.08
Expected Value
640.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Groenlandsbanken stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Groenlandsbanken stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.353
MADMean absolute deviation5.4095
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0082
SAESum of the absolute errors319.1583
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Groenlandsbanken observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Groenlandsbanken AS observations.

Predictive Modules for Groenlandsbanken

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groenlandsbanken. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Groenlandsbanken's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
638.67640.00641.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
540.47541.80704.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Groenlandsbanken. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Groenlandsbanken's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Groenlandsbanken's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Groenlandsbanken.

Other Forecasting Options for Groenlandsbanken

For every potential investor in Groenlandsbanken, whether a beginner or expert, Groenlandsbanken's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Groenlandsbanken Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Groenlandsbanken. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Groenlandsbanken's price trends.

Groenlandsbanken Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Groenlandsbanken stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Groenlandsbanken could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Groenlandsbanken by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Groenlandsbanken Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Groenlandsbanken's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Groenlandsbanken's current price.

Groenlandsbanken Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Groenlandsbanken stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Groenlandsbanken shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Groenlandsbanken stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Groenlandsbanken AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Groenlandsbanken Risk Indicators

The analysis of Groenlandsbanken's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Groenlandsbanken's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting groenlandsbanken stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Groenlandsbanken in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Groenlandsbanken's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Groenlandsbanken options trading.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Groenlandsbanken to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for Groenlandsbanken Stock analysis

When running Groenlandsbanken's price analysis, check to measure Groenlandsbanken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Groenlandsbanken is operating at the current time. Most of Groenlandsbanken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Groenlandsbanken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Groenlandsbanken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Groenlandsbanken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groenlandsbanken's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groenlandsbanken is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Groenlandsbanken's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.