Handelsinvest Defensiv Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for Handelsinvest Defensiv 10 is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Handelsinvest Defensiv 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Handelsinvest Defensiv 10 on the next trading day is expected to be 93.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.09.

Handelsinvest Defensiv Stock Forecast Pattern

Handelsinvest Defensiv Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Handelsinvest Defensiv stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Handelsinvest Defensiv stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Handelsinvest Defensiv. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Handelsinvest Defensiv 10 and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Handelsinvest Defensiv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Handelsinvest Defensiv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 93.36 93.54 93.72 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 88.89 89.07 102.89 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Handelsinvest Defensiv. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Handelsinvest Defensiv's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Handelsinvest Defensiv's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Handelsinvest Defensiv.

Other Forecasting Options for Handelsinvest Defensiv

For every potential investor in Handelsinvest, whether a beginner or expert, Handelsinvest Defensiv's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Handelsinvest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Handelsinvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Handelsinvest Defensiv's price trends.

Handelsinvest Defensiv Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Handelsinvest Defensiv Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Handelsinvest Defensiv's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Handelsinvest Defensiv's current price.

Handelsinvest Defensiv Market Strength Events

Handelsinvest Defensiv Risk Indicators

Complementary Tools for Handelsinvest Stock analysis

Please note, there is a significant difference between Handelsinvest Defensiv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Handelsinvest Defensiv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Handelsinvest Defensiv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.