Inrom Construction Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| INRM Stock | ILS 1,211 21.00 1.76% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Inrom Construction Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 1,211 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,041. Inrom Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Inrom Construction stock prices and determine the direction of Inrom Construction Industries's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Inrom Construction's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inrom Construction to cross-verify your projections. Inrom |
Most investors in Inrom Construction cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Inrom Construction's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Inrom Construction's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Inrom Construction is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Inrom Construction Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Inrom Construction Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 1,211 with a mean absolute deviation of 17.64, mean absolute percentage error of 472.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,041.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inrom Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inrom Construction's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Inrom Construction Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Inrom Construction | Inrom Construction Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Inrom Construction Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Inrom Construction's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Inrom Construction's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,209 and 1,213, respectively. We have considered Inrom Construction's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inrom Construction stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inrom Construction stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5928 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.0118 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 17.6392 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0154 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1040.715 |
Predictive Modules for Inrom Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Inrom Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inrom Construction's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Inrom Construction
For every potential investor in Inrom, whether a beginner or expert, Inrom Construction's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Inrom Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Inrom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Inrom Construction's price trends.Inrom Construction Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Inrom Construction stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Inrom Construction could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Inrom Construction by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inrom Construction Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Inrom Construction's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Inrom Construction's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Inrom Construction Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inrom Construction stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inrom Construction shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Inrom Construction stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Inrom Construction Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Inrom Construction Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inrom Construction's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inrom Construction's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting inrom stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Inrom Construction in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Inrom Construction's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Inrom Construction options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inrom Construction to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Complementary Tools for Inrom Stock analysis
When running Inrom Construction's price analysis, check to measure Inrom Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inrom Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Inrom Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inrom Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inrom Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inrom Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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