Lennar Stock Forecast - Semi Variance
| LEN Stock | USD 150.19 2.30 1.51% |
Lennar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lennar stock prices and determine the direction of Lennar's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lennar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Lennar's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lennar's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lennar fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lennar to cross-verify your projections. Lennar |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Lennar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lennar's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lennar's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lennar stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lennar's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lennar's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lennar is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lennar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Lennar cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Lennar's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Lennar's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Lennar Volatility | Backtest Lennar | Information Ratio |
Lennar Trading Date Momentum
| On April 19 2024 Lennar was traded for 150.19 at the closing time. Highest Lennar's price during the trading hours was 153.76 and the lowest price during the day was 149.14 . The net volume was 2.5 M. The overall trading history on the 19th of April did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 1.70% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Lennar
For every potential investor in Lennar, whether a beginner or expert, Lennar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lennar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lennar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lennar's price trends.Lennar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lennar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lennar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lennar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lennar Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lennar's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lennar's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lennar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lennar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lennar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lennar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lennar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73659.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 151.45 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 151.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.41) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.30) |
Lennar Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lennar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lennar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lennar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.03 | |||
| Variance | 4.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lennar to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Lennar Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lennar guide.Note that the Lennar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lennar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Lennar Stock analysis
When running Lennar's price analysis, check to measure Lennar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lennar is operating at the current time. Most of Lennar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lennar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lennar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lennar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lennar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lennar. If investors know Lennar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lennar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.249 | Dividend Share 1.625 | Earnings Share 14.24 | Revenue Per Share 124.738 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.127 |
The market value of Lennar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lennar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lennar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lennar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lennar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lennar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lennar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lennar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lennar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.