Levinski Ofer Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

LEOF Stock  ILA 334.40  1.90  0.57%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Levinski Ofer on the next trading day is expected to be 337.43 with a mean absolute deviation of  9.94  and the sum of the absolute errors of 566.75. Levinski Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Levinski Ofer stock prices and determine the direction of Levinski Ofer's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Levinski Ofer's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Levinski Ofer to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Levinski Ofer cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Levinski Ofer's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Levinski Ofer's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Levinski Ofer is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Levinski Ofer 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Levinski Ofer on the next trading day is expected to be 337.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.94, mean absolute percentage error of 227.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 566.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Levinski Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Levinski Ofer's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Levinski Ofer Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Levinski OferLevinski Ofer Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Levinski Ofer Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Levinski Ofer's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Levinski Ofer's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 332.44 and 342.41, respectively. We have considered Levinski Ofer's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
334.40
332.44
Downside
337.43
Expected Value
342.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Levinski Ofer stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Levinski Ofer stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.1862
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -3.3553
MADMean absolute deviation9.943
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0352
SAESum of the absolute errors566.75
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Levinski Ofer. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Levinski Ofer and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Levinski Ofer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Levinski Ofer. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Levinski Ofer's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
329.41334.40339.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
282.59287.58367.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
226.57302.87379.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Levinski Ofer. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Levinski Ofer's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Levinski Ofer's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Levinski Ofer.

Other Forecasting Options for Levinski Ofer

For every potential investor in Levinski, whether a beginner or expert, Levinski Ofer's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Levinski Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Levinski. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Levinski Ofer's price trends.

Levinski Ofer Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Levinski Ofer stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Levinski Ofer could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Levinski Ofer by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Levinski Ofer Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Levinski Ofer's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Levinski Ofer's current price.

Levinski Ofer Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Levinski Ofer stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Levinski Ofer shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Levinski Ofer stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Levinski Ofer entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Levinski Ofer Risk Indicators

The analysis of Levinski Ofer's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Levinski Ofer's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting levinski stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Levinski Ofer in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Levinski Ofer's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Levinski Ofer options trading.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Levinski Ofer to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Levinski Ofer's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Levinski Ofer is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Levinski Ofer's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.