Mid America Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MAA Stock  USD 129.79  0.55  0.42%   
Mid Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mid America stock prices and determine the direction of Mid America Apartment Communities's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Mid America historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Mid America naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Mid America Apartment Communities systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mid America fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mid America to cross-verify your projections.
  
The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 53.08, whereas Payables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 13.41. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 122.5 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 765.3 M.

Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Mid Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mid America's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest Mid America's options reflect these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short trading strategies Mid America stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note, to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mid America's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mid America's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mid America is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mid. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Mid America cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mid America's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mid America's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Mid America is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Mid America Apartment Communities value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Mid America Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Mid America Apartment Communities on the next trading day is expected to be 127.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.52, mean absolute percentage error of 3.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 92.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mid Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mid America's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mid America Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mid AmericaMid America Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mid America Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mid America's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mid America's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 125.96 and 128.62, respectively. We have considered Mid America's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
129.79
125.96
Downside
127.29
Expected Value
128.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mid America stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mid America stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3603
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5217
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors92.8264
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Mid America Apartment Communities. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Mid America. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Mid America

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mid-America Apartment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock or bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mid America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Mid America in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
129.06130.40131.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
117.31144.41145.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
122.74129.05135.35
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
144.53158.82176.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mid America. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mid America's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mid America's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mid-America Apartment.

Other Forecasting Options for Mid America

For every potential investor in Mid, whether a beginner or expert, Mid America's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mid Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mid America's price trends.

Mid America Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mid America stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mid America could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mid America by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
US GoldMining CommonMagniteHarmony Gold MiningGlobal-E OnlineLithium Americas CorpZhongAn Online PAmerican AirlinesAlcoa CorpApple IncBest BuyCitigroupSentinelOneCVS Health CorpChevron CorpHome Depot
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mid-America Apartment Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mid America's price movements, , a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mid America's current price.

Mid America Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mid America stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mid America shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mid America stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mid America Apartment Communities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mid America Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mid America's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in helping accuretelly forecast its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mid America's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some funamental techniques of forecasting Mid America stock price, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Mid-America Apartment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Mid America's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mid America Apartment Communities Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mid America Apartment Communities Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mid America to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Mid-America Apartment information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mid America's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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When running Mid America's price analysis, check to measure Mid America's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid America is operating at the current time. Most of Mid America's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid America's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid America's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid America to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mid America's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mid America. If investors know Mid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mid America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.18)
Dividend Share
5.6
Earnings Share
4.71
Revenue Per Share
18.438
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.027
The market value of Mid-America Apartment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mid America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mid America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mid America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mid America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.