My Size Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

MYSZ Stock  ILS 153.90  15.90  9.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of My Size on the next trading day is expected to be 172.08 with a mean absolute deviation of  9.13  and the sum of the absolute errors of 557.15. MYSZ Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast My Size stock prices and determine the direction of My Size's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of My Size's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  
Most investors in My Size cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the My Size's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets My Size's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for My Size is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of My Size value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

My Size Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of My Size on the next trading day is expected to be 172.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.13, mean absolute percentage error of 134.40, and the sum of the absolute errors of 557.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MYSZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that My Size's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

My Size Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of My Size stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent My Size stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0114
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.1336
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0504
SAESum of the absolute errors557.1502
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of My Size. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict My Size. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for My Size

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as My Size. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of My Size's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
147.63153.90160.17
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
142.28148.55154.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as My Size. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against My Size's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, My Size's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in My Size.

My Size Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with My Size stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of My Size could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing My Size by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

My Size Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how My Size stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading My Size shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying My Size stock market strength indicators, traders can identify My Size entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

My Size Risk Indicators

The analysis of My Size's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in My Size's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mysz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards My Size in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, My Size's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from My Size options trading.

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When determining whether My Size offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of My Size's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of My Size Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on My Size Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

Complementary Tools for MYSZ Stock analysis

When running My Size's price analysis, check to measure My Size's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy My Size is operating at the current time. Most of My Size's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of My Size's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move My Size's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of My Size to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between My Size's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if My Size is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, My Size's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.