Principal Financial 4 Period Moving Average

PFG -- USA Stock  

0.55 Dividend

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast Principal Financial historic prices and determine the direction of Principal Financial Group future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Principal Financial historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Principal Financial Group systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of Principal Financial fundamentals over time. Additionally take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Principal Financial to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
A four-period moving average forecast model for Principal Financial Group is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of Principal Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 53.2275

Principal Financial Prediction Pattern

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Principal Financial Forecasted Value

Market Value
December 8, 2019
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria111.1153
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1657
MADMean absolute deviation0.8782
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0161
SAESum of the absolute errors50.055
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Principal Financial. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Principal Financial Group and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Volatility Measures

Principal Financial Risk Indicators