Principal Financial Simple Moving Average

PFG -- USA Stock  

USD 57.83  0.47  0.82%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast Principal Financial historic prices and determine the direction of Principal Financial Group future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Principal Financial historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm we recommend to always cross-verify it against solid analysis of Principal Financial Group systematic risks associated with finding meaningful patterns of Principal Financial fundamentals over time. Additionally take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Principal Financial to cross-verify your projections.
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Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
A two period moving average forecast for Principal Financial is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of Principal Financial Group on the next trading day is expected to be 57.83

Principal Financial Prediction Pattern

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Principal Financial Forecasted Value

September 16, 2019
57.83
Market Value
57.83
Expected Value
62.71
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2255
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0192
MADMean absolute deviation0.7481
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0135
SAESum of the absolute errors44.885
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Principal Financial Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Principal Financial. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting stock prices into the future

Volatility Measures

Principal Financial Risk Indicators

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