JPMorgan SmartRetirement 8 Period Moving Average

JP
SRJSX -- USA Fund  

USD 20.48  0.05  0.24%

Investors can use this prediction interface to forecast JPMorgan SmartRetirement historic prices and determine the direction of JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However looking at historical price movement exclusively is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of JPMorgan SmartRetirement historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Additionally take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan SmartRetirement to cross-verify your projections.
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Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
An 8-period moving average forecast model for JPMorgan SmartRetirement is based on an artificially constructed time series of JPMorgan SmartRetirement daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.
Given 30 days horizon, the value of JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F on the next trading day is expected to be 20.33375

JPMorgan SmartRetirement Prediction Pattern

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JPMorgan SmartRetirement Forecasted Value

Market Value
20.48
January 18, 2020
20.33
Expected Value
23.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria101.2082
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0549
MADMean absolute deviation0.2043
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors10.83
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. JPMorgan SmartRetirement 2035 F 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Volatility Measures

JPMorgan SmartRetirement Risk Indicators