Sydinvest Fjernsten Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

SYIFJERADKKA  DKK 294.27  1.67  0.57%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende on the next trading day is expected to be 287.07 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.80  and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.78. Sydinvest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sydinvest Fjernsten stock prices and determine the direction of Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sydinvest Fjernsten's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out fundamental analysis of Sydinvest Fjernsten to check your projections.
  
Most investors in Sydinvest Fjernsten cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Sydinvest Fjernsten's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Sydinvest Fjernsten's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Sydinvest Fjernsten is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Sydinvest Fjernsten Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende on the next trading day is expected to be 287.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80, mean absolute percentage error of 4.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sydinvest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sydinvest Fjernsten's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sydinvest Fjernsten Stock Forecast Pattern

Sydinvest Fjernsten Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sydinvest Fjernsten's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sydinvest Fjernsten's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 286.31 and 287.83, respectively. We have considered Sydinvest Fjernsten's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
294.27
286.31
Downside
287.07
Expected Value
287.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sydinvest Fjernsten stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sydinvest Fjernsten stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6466
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.7997
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0062
SAESum of the absolute errors109.78
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Sydinvest Fjernsten. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Sydinvest Fjernsten

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sydinvest Fjernsten. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sydinvest Fjernsten's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
293.51294.27295.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
272.91273.67323.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
289.29296.21303.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sydinvest Fjernsten. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sydinvest Fjernsten's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sydinvest Fjernsten's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sydinvest Fjernsten.

Other Forecasting Options for Sydinvest Fjernsten

For every potential investor in Sydinvest, whether a beginner or expert, Sydinvest Fjernsten's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sydinvest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sydinvest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sydinvest Fjernsten's price trends.

Sydinvest Fjernsten Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sydinvest Fjernsten stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sydinvest Fjernsten could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sydinvest Fjernsten by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sydinvest Fjernsten Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Sydinvest Fjernsten's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Sydinvest Fjernsten's current price.

Sydinvest Fjernsten Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sydinvest Fjernsten stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sydinvest Fjernsten shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sydinvest Fjernsten stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sydinvest Fjernsten Akkumulerende entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sydinvest Fjernsten Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sydinvest Fjernsten's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sydinvest Fjernsten's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sydinvest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out fundamental analysis of Sydinvest Fjernsten to check your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sydinvest Fjernsten's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sydinvest Fjernsten is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sydinvest Fjernsten's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.