Tricida Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

A four-period moving average forecast model for Tricida is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Tricida 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 19th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tricida on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.47.

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tricida stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tricida stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Tricida. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Tricida and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Tricida

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tricida. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.01 0.01 0.02 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.01 0.01 0.02 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.01 0.01 0.01 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tricida. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tricida's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tricida's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tricida.

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