Union Pacific Stock Forecast - Market Facilitation Index
| UNP Stock | USD 233.94 0.46 0.20% |
Union Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Union Pacific stock prices and determine the direction of Union Pacific's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Union Pacific's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Union Pacific's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Union Pacific's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Union Pacific fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Union Pacific to cross-verify your projections. Union |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Union Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Union Pacific's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Union Pacific's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Union Pacific stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Union Pacific's open interest, investors have to compare it to Union Pacific's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Union Pacific is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Union. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Union Pacific cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Union Pacific's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Union Pacific's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Market Facilitation Index is simply a difference between period high and low prices divided by period trading volume.| Check Union Pacific Volatility | Backtest Union Pacific | Information Ratio |
Union Pacific Trading Date Momentum
| On April 16 2024 Union Pacific was traded for 233.94 at the closing time. Highest Union Pacific's price during the trading hours was 237.92 and the lowest price during the day was 232.49 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 16th of April 2024 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.61% . |
Market Facilitation Index was developed by Dr. Bill Williams. This indicator can help to determine either strong or week signal that can follow the current trend line by looking at how Market Facilitation index correlates with trading volume over time.
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Other Forecasting Options for Union Pacific
For every potential investor in Union, whether a beginner or expert, Union Pacific's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Union Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Union. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Union Pacific's price trends.Union Pacific Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Union Pacific stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Union Pacific could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Union Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Union Pacific Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Union Pacific's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Union Pacific's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Union Pacific Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Union Pacific stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Union Pacific shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Union Pacific stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Union Pacific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0228 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.08) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 235.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 234.78 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.43 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.50) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.46) |
Union Pacific Risk Indicators
The analysis of Union Pacific's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Union Pacific's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting union stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7483 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9294 | |||
| Variance | 0.8638 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Union Pacific Investors Sentiment
The influence of Union Pacific's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Union. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Union Pacific's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Union. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Union can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Union Pacific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Union Pacific's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Union Pacific's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Union Pacific's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Union Pacific.
Union Pacific Implied Volatility | 31.58 |
Union Pacific's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Union Pacific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Union Pacific's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Union Pacific stock will not fluctuate a lot when Union Pacific's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Union Pacific in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Union Pacific's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Union Pacific options trading.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| LTC | Litecoin | |
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Union Pacific to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Union Stock, please use our How to Invest in Union Pacific guide.You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Union Stock analysis
When running Union Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Union Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Union Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Union Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Union Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Union Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Union Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Union Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Union Pacific. If investors know Union will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Union Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.012 | Dividend Share 5.2 | Earnings Share 10.46 | Revenue Per Share 39.591 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Union Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Union that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Union Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Union Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Union Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Union Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Union Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Union Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Union Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.