Wave Life Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| WVE Stock | USD 5.74 0.06 1.03% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wave Life Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.21. Wave Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Wave Life stock prices and determine the direction of Wave Life Sciences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Wave Life's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Wave Life's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Wave Life's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Wave Life fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wave Life to cross-verify your projections. Wave |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Wave Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Wave Life's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Wave Life's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Wave Life stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Wave Life's open interest, investors have to compare it to Wave Life's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Wave Life is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Wave. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Wave Life cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Wave Life's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Wave Life's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Wave Life is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Wave Life Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 17th of April 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Wave Life Sciences on the next trading day is expected to be 5.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Wave Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Wave Life's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Wave Life Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Wave Life | Wave Life Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Wave Life Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Wave Life's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Wave Life's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.06 and 11.49, respectively. We have considered Wave Life's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Wave Life stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Wave Life stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.2664 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0268 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2239 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0426 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.21 |
Predictive Modules for Wave Life
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wave Life Sciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wave Life's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Wave Life
For every potential investor in Wave, whether a beginner or expert, Wave Life's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Wave Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Wave. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Wave Life's price trends.Wave Life Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Wave Life stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Wave Life could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Wave Life by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Wave Life Sciences Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Wave Life's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Wave Life's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Wave Life Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Wave Life stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Wave Life shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Wave Life stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Wave Life Sciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Wave Life Risk Indicators
The analysis of Wave Life's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Wave Life's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting wave stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.71 | |||
| Variance | 32.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 19.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 16.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.98) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Wave Life in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Wave Life's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Wave Life options trading.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| LTC | Litecoin | |
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Wave Life to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Wave Stock analysis
When running Wave Life's price analysis, check to measure Wave Life's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wave Life is operating at the current time. Most of Wave Life's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wave Life's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wave Life's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wave Life to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wave Life's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wave Life. If investors know Wave will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wave Life listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.54) | Revenue Per Share 1.068 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 22.451 | Return On Assets (0.20) | Return On Equity (11.18) |
The market value of Wave Life Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wave that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wave Life's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wave Life's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wave Life's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wave Life's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wave Life's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wave Life is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wave Life's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.