Stone Harbor Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

XEDFX Fund  USD 3.61  0.12  0.22%   
Stone Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Stone Harbor stock prices and determine the direction of Stone Harbor Emerging's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Stone Harbor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
  
Most investors in Stone Harbor cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, fund markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Stone Harbor's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Stone Harbor's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Stone Harbor price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Stone Harbor Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Stone Harbor Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 4.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.85.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stone Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stone Harbor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stone Harbor Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Stone Harbor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stone Harbor's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stone Harbor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.14 and 5.16, respectively. We have considered Stone Harbor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.70
4.65
Expected Value
5.16
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stone Harbor mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stone Harbor mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5945
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0303
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors1.8475
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Stone Harbor Emerging historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Stone Harbor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stone Harbor Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stone Harbor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.194.705.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.924.434.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stone Harbor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stone Harbor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stone Harbor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stone Harbor Emerging.

Other Forecasting Options for Stone Harbor

For every potential investor in Stone, whether a beginner or expert, Stone Harbor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stone Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stone. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stone Harbor's price trends.

Stone Harbor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stone Harbor mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stone Harbor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stone Harbor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stone Harbor Emerging Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stone Harbor's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stone Harbor's current price.

Stone Harbor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stone Harbor mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stone Harbor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stone Harbor mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Stone Harbor Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stone Harbor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stone Harbor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stone Harbor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stone mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out fundamental analysis of Stone Harbor to check your projections.
Note that the Stone Harbor Emerging information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Stone Harbor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Investment Finder module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.

Complementary Tools for Stone Mutual Fund analysis

When running Stone Harbor's price analysis, check to measure Stone Harbor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stone Harbor is operating at the current time. Most of Stone Harbor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stone Harbor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stone Harbor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stone Harbor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Stone Harbor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stone Harbor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stone Harbor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.