NAPCO Security Valuation

NSSC Stock  USD 40.26  0.62  1.56%   
At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. NAPCO Security Techn secures a last-minute Real Value of $34.27 per share. The latest price of the entity is $40.26. Our model forecasts the value of NAPCO Security Techn from evaluating the entity fundamentals such as Return On Asset of 0.17, current valuation of 1.38 B, and Profit Margin of 0.24 % as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors recommend purchasing undervalued stocks and exiting overvalued stocks since, in the future, asset prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Price Book
9.2244
Enterprise Value
1.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
27.7904
Price Sales
8.2722
Forward PE
33.0033
Overvalued
Today
40.26
Please note that NAPCO Security's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of NAPCO Security Techn is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing NAPCO Security's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for NAPCO Security Technologies is useful when determining the fair value of the NAPCO stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of NAPCO Security. Since NAPCO Security is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NAPCO Stock. However, NAPCO Security's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  40.26 Real  34.27 Target  28.8 Hype  40.4 Naive  43.55
The real value of NAPCO Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of NAPCO Security Techn Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on NAPCO Security's financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of NAPCO Security's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence NAPCO Security's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
34.27
Real Value
44.29
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of NAPCO Security Technologies helps investors to forecast how NAPCO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of NAPCO Security more accurately as focusing exclusively on NAPCO Security's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.310.330.34
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.3240.4043.48
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.110.110.11
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
26.2128.8031.97
Details

NAPCO Security Investments

(24.16 Million)

NAPCO Security Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining NAPCO Security's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare NAPCO Security value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across NAPCO Security competition to find correlations between indicators driving NAPCO Security's intrinsic value. More Info.
NAPCO Security Technologies is regarded third in net asset category among related companies. It is considered to be number one stock in price to sales category among related companies . The ratio of Net Asset to Price To Sales for NAPCO Security Technologies is about  20,146,273 . The current year's Price To Sales Ratio is expected to grow to 7.13. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value NAPCO Security by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for NAPCO Security's Stock . Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the NAPCO Security's earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates NAPCO Security's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in NAPCO Security and how it compares across the competition.

About NAPCO Security Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of NAPCO Security Technologies on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of NAPCO Security Technologies. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of NAPCO Security Techn based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing NAPCO Security's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NAPCO Security's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of NAPCO Security. We calculate exposure to NAPCO Security's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NAPCO Security's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Gross Profit84.2 M88.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.18  0.17 
Operating Profit Margin 0.21  0.22 
Net Profit Margin 0.14  0.15 
Gross Profit Margin 0.39  0.26 

NAPCO Security Quarterly Retained Earnings

154.94 Million

8 Steps to conduct NAPCO Security's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates NAPCO Security's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct NAPCO Security's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain NAPCO Security's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine NAPCO Security's revenue streams: Identify NAPCO Security's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research NAPCO Security's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish NAPCO Security's growth potential: Evaluate NAPCO Security's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine NAPCO Security's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate NAPCO Security's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
NAPCO Security's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether NAPCO Security's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of NAPCO Security can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of NAPCO Security represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of NAPCO, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

NAPCO Security Dividends Analysis For Valuation

The current year's Dividends Paid is expected to grow to about (2 M). In addition to that, Dividend Yield is expected to decline to 0. The current year's Retained Earnings is expected to grow to about 166.3 M. The current year's Retained Earnings Total Equity is expected to grow to about 136.3 M
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Dividends Paid-2.1 M-2 M
Dividend Yield 0  0 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.1  0.09 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio(42.78)(40.64)
There are various types of dividends NAPCO Security can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of NAPCO shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from NAPCO Security Technologies directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When NAPCO pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of NAPCO Security by the value of the dividends paid out.

NAPCO Security Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as NAPCO Security does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y2.182
Forward Price Earnings33.0033

NAPCO Security Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of NAPCO Security Technologies and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value NAPCO we look at many different elements of the entity such as NAPCO's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. NAPCO Security's valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final NAPCO Security's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as NAPCO Security, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use NAPCO Security's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes NAPCO Security's worth.
When determining whether NAPCO Security Techn offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NAPCO Security's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Napco Security Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Napco Security Technologies Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NAPCO Security Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running NAPCO Security's price analysis, check to measure NAPCO Security's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NAPCO Security is operating at the current time. Most of NAPCO Security's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NAPCO Security's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NAPCO Security's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NAPCO Security to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NAPCO Security's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NAPCO Security. If investors know NAPCO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NAPCO Security listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.182
Dividend Share
0.223
Earnings Share
1.16
Revenue Per Share
4.828
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.124
The market value of NAPCO Security Techn is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NAPCO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NAPCO Security's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NAPCO Security's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NAPCO Security's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NAPCO Security's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NAPCO Security's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NAPCO Security is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NAPCO Security's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.