Illinois Tool Works Stock Volatility
| ITW Stock | USD 248.83 0.71 0.28% |
Illinois Tool Works holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0533, which attests that the entity had a -0.0533% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Illinois Tool Works exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Illinois Tool's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), standard deviation of 0.8488, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02) to validate the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Illinois Tool's volatility include:
60 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 60 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Illinois Tool Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Illinois daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Illinois's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Illinois Tool volatility.
Illinois |
ESG Sustainability
While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Illinois Tool's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Illinois Tool's managers and investors.Environment Score | Governance Score | Social Score |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Illinois Tool can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Illinois Tool at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Illinois stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Illinois Tool's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with Illinois Stock
| 0.71 | HI | Hillenbrand Financial Report 13th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Illinois Tool Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Illinois Tool's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Illinois stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Illinois stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Illinois Tool's beta of 0.83 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Illinois Tool stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Illinois Tool Works exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.45 and kurtosis of -0.46. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Illinois Tool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Illinois Tool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Illinois Tool Works Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Illinois Tool correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Illinois Beta |
Illinois standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.82 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Illinois Tool's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Illinois Tool's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in illinois stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Illinois Tool.
Using Illinois Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on Illinois Tool grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Illinois Tool at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Illinois Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Illinois Tool's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Illinois Tool will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
Illinois Tool's PUT expiring on 2024-04-19
Profit |
| Illinois Tool Price At Expiration |
Current Illinois Tool Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $270.0 | -0.8543 | 0.0123 | 1 | 2024-04-19 | 19.0 - 22.5 | 9.5 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $260.0 | -0.8782 | 0.022 | 84 | 2024-04-19 | 9.6 - 13.0 | 11.7 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $250.0 | -0.656 | 0.1303 | 708 | 2024-04-19 | 1.7 - 1.9 | 2.03 | View |
Put | 2024-04-19 PUT at $240.0 | -0.0386 | 0.0163 | 59 | 2024-04-19 | 0.0 - 0.1 | 0.08 | View |
Illinois Tool Works Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Illinois Tool stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Illinois Tool's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Illinois Tool's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Illinois Tool's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Illinois Tool's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Illinois Tool's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Illinois Tool's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Illinois Tool's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Illinois Tool Works Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Illinois Tool Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Illinois Tool has a beta of 0.8286 . This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Illinois Tool average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Illinois Tool Works will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Illinois Tool or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Illinois Tool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Illinois stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Illinois Tool Works has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Illinois Tool Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Illinois Tool Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Illinois Tool is -1877.77. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.68 and standard deviation of 0.82. The mean deviation of Illinois Tool Works is currently at 0.67. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Illinois Tool Stock Return Volatility
Illinois Tool historical daily return volatility represents how much of Illinois Tool stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The venture has volatility of 0.8222% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6214% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Illinois Tool Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Illinois Tool or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Illinois Tool may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Illinois's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Illinois Tool and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Illinois Tool fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Selling And Marketing Expenses | 2.5 B | 2.6 B | |
| Market Cap | 30.7 B | 17.6 B |
Illinois Tool's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Illinois Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Illinois Tool's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Illinois Tool's volatility to invest better
Higher Illinois Tool's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Illinois Tool Works stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Illinois Tool Works stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Illinois Tool Works investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Illinois Tool's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Illinois Tool's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Illinois Tool Investment Opportunity
Illinois Tool Works has a volatility of 0.82 and is 1.32 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Illinois Tool Works is lower than 7 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Illinois Tool Works to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of Illinois Tool to be traded at $246.34 in 90 days.Poor diversification
The correlation between Illinois Tool Works and NYA is 0.6 (i.e., Poor diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Illinois Tool Works and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Illinois Tool Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Illinois Tool's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Illinois Tool's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Illinois Tool stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.6994 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (4,773) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8488 | |||
| Variance | 0.7205 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Illinois Tool Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Illinois Tool as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Illinois Tool's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Illinois Tool's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Illinois Tool Works.
When determining whether Illinois Tool Works is a strong investment it is important to analyze Illinois Tool's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Illinois Tool's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Illinois Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Illinois Tool Works. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Illinois Stock analysis
When running Illinois Tool's price analysis, check to measure Illinois Tool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Illinois Tool is operating at the current time. Most of Illinois Tool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Illinois Tool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Illinois Tool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Illinois Tool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Illinois Tool's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Illinois Tool. If investors know Illinois will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Illinois Tool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.19) | Dividend Share 5.42 | Earnings Share 9.75 | Revenue Per Share 53.229 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
The market value of Illinois Tool Works is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Illinois that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Illinois Tool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Illinois Tool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Illinois Tool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Illinois Tool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Illinois Tool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Illinois Tool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Illinois Tool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.