Overseas Shipholding Group Stock Volatility
| OSG Stock | USD 6.12 0.09 1.49% |
We consider Overseas Shipholding somewhat reliable. Overseas Shipholding maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0411, which implies the firm had a 0.0411% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Overseas Shipholding, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Overseas Shipholding's Semi Deviation of 1.85, risk adjusted performance of 0.0327, and Coefficient Of Variation of 2433.74 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0865%. Key indicators related to Overseas Shipholding's volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 30 Days Economic Sensitivity |
Overseas Shipholding Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Overseas daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Overseas's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Overseas Shipholding volatility.
Overseas |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Overseas Shipholding can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Overseas Shipholding at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Overseas stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Overseas Shipholding's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Overseas Shipholding Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Overseas Shipholding's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Overseas stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Overseas stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Overseas Shipholding's beta of 1.11 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Overseas Shipholding stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Overseas Shipholding Group has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.05 and kurtosis of 4.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Overseas Shipholding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Overseas Shipholding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Overseas Shipholding Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Overseas Shipholding correlation with market (NYSE Composite)Overseas Beta |
Overseas standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.1 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Overseas Shipholding's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Overseas Shipholding's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in overseas stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Overseas Shipholding.
Overseas Shipholding Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Overseas Shipholding stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Overseas Shipholding's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Overseas Shipholding's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Overseas Shipholding's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Overseas Shipholding's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Overseas Shipholding's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Overseas Shipholding's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Overseas Shipholding's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Overseas Shipholding Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Overseas Shipholding Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.1126 . This indicates Overseas Shipholding Group market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Overseas Shipholding is expected to follow.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Overseas Shipholding or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Overseas Shipholding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Overseas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Overseas Shipholding Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an Overseas Shipholding Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Overseas Shipholding Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Overseas Shipholding is 2433.74. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 4.43 and standard deviation of 2.1. The mean deviation of Overseas Shipholding Group is currently at 1.45. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0006 |
Overseas Shipholding Stock Return Volatility
Overseas Shipholding historical daily return volatility represents how much of Overseas Shipholding stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 2.1046% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About Overseas Shipholding Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of Overseas Shipholding or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Overseas Shipholding may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Overseas's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Overseas Shipholding and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Overseas Shipholding fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.Overseas Shipholding Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a fleet of oceangoing vessels. The company was founded in 1948 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida. Overseas Shipholding operates under Oil Gas Midstream classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 953 people.
Overseas Shipholding's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Overseas Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Overseas Shipholding's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize Overseas Shipholding's volatility to invest better
Higher Overseas Shipholding's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Overseas Shipholding stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Overseas Shipholding stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Overseas Shipholding investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Overseas Shipholding's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Overseas Shipholding's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Overseas Shipholding Investment Opportunity
Overseas Shipholding Group has a volatility of 2.1 and is 3.28 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Overseas Shipholding Group is lower than 18 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Overseas Shipholding Group to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences a large bullish trend. Check odds of Overseas Shipholding to be traded at $6.73 in 90 days.Weak diversification
The correlation between Overseas Shipholding Group and NYA is 0.34 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Overseas Shipholding Group and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Overseas Shipholding Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Overseas Shipholding's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Overseas Shipholding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Overseas Shipholding stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0327 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0787 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.85 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2433.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Overseas Shipholding Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Overseas Shipholding as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Overseas Shipholding's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Overseas Shipholding's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Overseas Shipholding Group.
When determining whether Overseas Shipholding is a strong investment it is important to analyze Overseas Shipholding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Overseas Shipholding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Overseas Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Overseas Shipholding Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for Overseas Stock analysis
When running Overseas Shipholding's price analysis, check to measure Overseas Shipholding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Overseas Shipholding is operating at the current time. Most of Overseas Shipholding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Overseas Shipholding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Overseas Shipholding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Overseas Shipholding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Overseas Shipholding. If investors know Overseas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Overseas Shipholding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Overseas Shipholding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Overseas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Overseas Shipholding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Overseas Shipholding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Overseas Shipholding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Overseas Shipholding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Overseas Shipholding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Overseas Shipholding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Overseas Shipholding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.