Par Technology Stock Volatility

PAR -  USA Stock  

USD 61.05  1.71  2.72%

Par Technology Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.13, which implies the firm had -0.13% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Macroaxis standpoint towards forecasting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. Par Technology Corp exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to check Par Technology Corp coefficient of variation of (918.31), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide.

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Par Technology Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Par Technology daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Par Technology's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Par Technology volatility.

630 Days Market Risk

Very steady

Chance of Distress

Very Low

630 Days Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the market

Par Technology Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Par Technology's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Par Technology stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire stock market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Par Technology stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Par Technology's beta of 1.57 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Par Technology stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios.
Let's try to break down what Par Technology's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Par Technology will likely underperform.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Par Technology Corp Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Par Technology correlation with market (DOW)

Par Technology Beta

    
  1.57  
Par Technology standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. Typical volatile equity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  3.23  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Par Technology's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Par Technology stock's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in Par Technology stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Par Technology.

Par Technology Corp Stock Volatility Analysis

Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Par Technology Corp Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about average price price transform indicator.

Par Technology Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5687 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Par Technology will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Par Technology or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Par Technology stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Par Technology stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
The company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. Par Technology Corp is significantly underperforming DOW.
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 

Par Technology Stock Risk Measures

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Par Technology or Technology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Par Technology stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Par Technology stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of Par Technology is -766.27. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 10.4 and standard deviation of 3.23. The mean deviation of Par Technology Corp is currently at 2.59. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.74
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.42
β
Beta against DOW1.57
σ
Overall volatility
3.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Par Technology Stock Return Volatility

Par Technology historical daily return volatility represents how much Par Technology stock's price daily returns swing around its mean daily price change - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The enterprise has volatility of 3.2251% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, DOW inherits 0.7403% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

About Par Technology Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Par Technology or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Par Technology may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Par Technology's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Par Technology and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Par Technology fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
PAR Technology Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides point-of-sale solutions to the restaurant and retail industries worldwide. The company was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in New Hartford, New York. Par Technology operates under SoftwareApplication classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 1008 people.

Nearest Par Technology long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Par Technology's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Par Technology Corp. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Par Technologyusing the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Par Technology Corp over a specific time period.
View All Par Technology options
PAR210820C00035000 is a CALL option contract on Par Technology's common stock with a strick price of 35.0 expiring on 2021-08-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 21 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $25.5, and an ask price of $30.5. The implied volatility as of the 30th of July is 134.6486.
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      Par Technology Price At Expiration 

Par Technology Investment Opportunity

Par Technology Corp has a volatility of 3.23 and is 4.36 times more volatile than DOW. 27  of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Par Technology. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Par Technology Corp is lower than 27 () of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Use Par Technology Corp to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences an unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of Par Technology to be traded at $58.61 in 90 days. . Let's try to break down what Par Technology's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Par Technology will likely underperform.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Par Technology Corp and DJI is Weak diversification for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Par Technology Corp and DJI in the same portfolio assuming nothing else is changed.

Par Technology Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Par Technology's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Par Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Par Technology stock risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Risk Adjusted Performance(0.07)
Market Risk Adjusted Performance(0.21)
Mean Deviation2.47
Coefficient Of Variation(918.31)
Standard Deviation3.14
Variance9.88
Information Ratio(0.13)
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stock investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Par Technology Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Par Technology as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Par Technology's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Par Technology's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Par Technology Corp.
Please check Your Equity Center. Note that the Par Technology Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Par Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.

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When running Par Technology Corp price analysis, check to measure Par Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Par Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Par Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Par Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Par Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Par Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Par Technology Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Par Technology that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Par Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Par Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Par Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Par Technology Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Par Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Par Technology value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Par Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.