Is Agilysys Stock a Good Investment?
Agilysys Investment Advice | AGYS |
- Examine Agilysys' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
- Research Agilysys' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Agilysys navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
- Consider the overall health of the Application Software space and any emerging trends that could impact Agilysys' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
- Compare Agilysys' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Agilysys is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
- Check if Agilysys pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
- Review what financial analysts are saying about Agilysys' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Agilysys stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Agilysys is a good investment.
Sell | Buy |
Examine Agilysys Stock
Researching Agilysys' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 244.05. Agilysys last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2009. The entity had 3:2 split on the 7th of September 1995.
To determine if Agilysys is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Agilysys' research are outlined below:
| Agilysys is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Agilysys, Inc. Stake Decreased by Pictet Asset Management SA |
Agilysys Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Agilysys uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Agilysys. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Agilysys' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
| 24th of October 2023 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
| 23rd of January 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
| 30th of September 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
| 21st of May 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
| 30th of June 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
| 31st of March 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Agilysys' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Agilysys' investors have experienced.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019-01-24 | 2018-12-31 | -0.1 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 10 | ||
2012-10-25 | 2012-09-30 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 20 | ||
2003-10-30 | 2003-09-30 | -0.03 | -0.04 | -0.01 | 33 | ||
2003-07-24 | 2003-06-30 | -0.03 | -0.02 | 0.01 | 33 | ||
2003-02-03 | 2002-12-31 | 0.08 | 0.07 | -0.01 | 12 | ||
2018-10-25 | 2018-09-30 | -0.11 | -0.09 | 0.02 | 18 | ||
2017-08-03 | 2017-06-30 | -0.15 | -0.13 | 0.02 | 13 | ||
2016-06-09 | 2016-03-31 | -0.07 | -0.09 | -0.02 | 28 |
Agilysys' SEC filings
Before you invest in Agilysys, make sure you check Agilysys'recent SEC filings. These artifacts are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Agilysys prospectus issued under the guidelines of the SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Agilysys investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Agilysys' specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
| 13th of September 2023 Financial Statements and Exhibits. Amendments to Articles of Incorporation or Bylaws; and/or Change in Fiscal Year | View | |
| 23rd of August 2023 Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders | View | |
| 10th of February 2023 Unclassified Corporate Event | View |
Agilysys Target Price Consensus
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Agilysys target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Agilysys' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| Buy |
Most Agilysys analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Agilysys stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Agilysys, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAgilysys Target Price Projection
Agilysys' current and average target prices are 66.36 and 91.40, respectively. The current price of Agilysys is the price at which Agilysys is currently trading. On the other hand, Agilysys' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Agilysys Market Quote on 21st of September 2023
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Agilysys Target Price
Agilysys Analyst Ratings
Agilysys' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Agilysys stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Agilysys' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Agilysys' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Know Agilysys' Top Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Agilysys is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agilysys backward and forwards among themselves. Agilysys' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Agilysys' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Last Transaction | Type | Shares | Value | Mak Capital One Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 3.8 M | 260.6 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 3.1 M | 215 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.7 M | 118.9 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.1 M | 78.3 M | T Rowe Price Investment Management Inc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 1.1 M | 72.3 M | Fred Alger Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 872.5 K | 59.9 M | Nine Ten Capital Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 823.6 K | 56.5 M | Snyder Capital Management L P | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 758.4 K | 52.1 M | State Street Corp | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 753 K | 51.7 M | Driehaus Capital Management Llc | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 734.5 K | 50.4 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors Lp | 2023-06-30 | Common Shares | 725.7 K | 49.8 M |
Agilysys' market capitalization trends
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 1.68 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Agilysys's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Agilysys's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Market Cap |
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Agilysys' profitablity analysis
Agilysys' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Agilysys' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Agilysys is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Agilysys' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Agilysys' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Agilysys' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
| Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||
| Return on Investment | 9.28 | 10.01 | |
| Return on Average Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return on Average Equity | 0.12 | 0.13 | |
| Return on Invested Capital | 0.84 | 0.86 | |
| Return on Sales | 0.08 | 0.09 |
Determining Agilysys' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Agilysys is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Agilysys' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Agilysys' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
The data published in Agilysys' official financial statements usually reflect Agilysys' business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Agilysys. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Agilysys accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Agilysys' liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Software space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Agilysys' financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Agilysys' management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Agilysys' accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Agilysys. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Agilysys' management manipulating its earnings.
Evaluate Agilysys' management efficiency
Agilysys has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0323 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0323 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.0925 %, meaning that it created $0.0925 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Agilysys' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Agilysys manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to gain to 10.01 in 2023. Return on Average Assets is likely to gain to 0.06 in 2023. Agilysys Assets Non Current are comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Agilysys reported Assets Non Current of 88.38 Million in 2022. Revenue to Assets is likely to gain to 1.00 in 2023, whereas Current Assets are likely to drop slightly above 145.1 M in 2023.| Last Reported | Projected for 2023 | ||
| Book Value per Share | 4.43 | 4.30 | |
| Enterprise Value over EBIT | 126.00 | 135.95 | |
| Enterprise Value over EBITDA | 103.26 | 111.41 | |
| Price to Book Value | 19.03 | 20.53 | |
| Tangible Assets Book Value per Share | 7.79 | 7.45 | |
| Enterprise Value | 2 B | 2.1 B | |
| Tangible Asset Value | 192.3 M | 178.4 M |
The analysis of Agilysys' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Agilysys' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Agilysys Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Short Long Term Debt Total 16.7 M | Preferred Stock Total Equity 35.5 M | Interest Expense -2.9 M | Total Operating Expenses 107.6 M | Beta 0.8932 |
Basic technical analysis of Agilysys Stock
As of the 21st of September, Agilysys shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.020074), mean deviation of 1.49, and Standard Deviation of 1.86. Agilysys technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We have analyzed and interpolated thirteen technical drivers for Agilysys, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Agilysys coefficient of variation and value at risk to decide if Agilysys is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 66.36 per share. Given that Agilysys has information ratio of (0.05), we suggest you to validate Agilysys's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Agilysys' insider trading activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Agilysys insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Agilysys' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Agilysys insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Wood William David Iii over two months ago Payment of 480 shares by Wood William David Iii of Agilysys subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Zierick James F over three months ago Agilysys exotic insider transaction detected |
Understand Agilysys' technical and predictive indicators
Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Agilysys' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.020074) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,159) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.31 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2652 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.39) |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.020074) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.07) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (2,159) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.09) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 7.65 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.31 | |||
| Skewness | 0.2652 | |||
| Kurtosis | (0.39) |
Agilysys Stock media impact
Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Agilysys that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Agilysys media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Agilysys internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Agilysys data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Agilysys news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Agilysys relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Agilysys' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Agilysys alpha.
Agilysys Sentiment by Major News Outlets
Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Agilysys can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.
Agilysys Historical Investor Sentiment
Investor biases related to Agilysys' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agilysys. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agilysys can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agilysys. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Agilysys' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Agilysys and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Agilysys news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Agilysys.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Agilysys in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Agilysys' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Agilysys options trading.
Pair Trading with Agilysys
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Agilysys position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Agilysys will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Agilysys Stock
| + | 0.61 | QTWO | Q2 Holdings | Fiscal Quarter End 30th of September 2023 | PairCorr |
Moving against Agilysys Stock
| - | 0.55 | PALT | Paltalk | Fiscal Quarter End 30th of September 2023 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Agilysys could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Agilysys when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Agilysys - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Agilysys to buy it.
The correlation of Agilysys is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Agilysys moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Agilysys moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Agilysys can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Agilysys. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing. For more information on how to buy Agilysys Stock please use our How to Invest in Agilysys guide. You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Agilysys Stock analysis
When running Agilysys' price analysis, check to measure Agilysys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agilysys is operating at the current time. Most of Agilysys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agilysys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agilysys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agilysys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Agilysys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Agilysys. If investors know Agilysys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Agilysys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.60) | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share 8.339 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.18 | Return On Assets 0.0323 |
The market value of Agilysys is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Agilysys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Agilysys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Agilysys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Agilysys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Agilysys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Agilysys' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Agilysys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Agilysys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.