Is Arch Resources Stock a Good Investment?

Arch Resources Investment Advice

  ARCH
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Arch Resources stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Arch Resources. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Arch Resources in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Arch Resources' financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Arch Resources' leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Arch Resources navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space and any emerging trends that could impact Arch Resources' business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Arch Resources' performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Arch Resources is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Arch Resources pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Arch Resources' stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Arch Resources stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Arch Resources is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Hold
Macroaxis provides advice on Arch Resources to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Arch Resources. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Arch Resources is not overpriced, please confirm all Arch Resources fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, and the relationship between the shares owned by insiders and revenue . Given that Arch Resources has a price to earning of 2.83 X, we suggest you to validate Arch Resources market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails

Examine Arch Resources Stock

Researching Arch Resources' stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arch Resources recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. The firm had 1:10 split on the 4th of August 2015.
To determine if Arch Resources is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Arch Resources' research are outlined below:
Arch Resources generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Arch Resources is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 13th of September 2024 Arch Resources paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: StockNews.com Begins Coverage on Arch Resources

Arch Resources Quarterly Liabilities And Stockholders Equity

2.41 Billion

Arch Resources uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Arch Resources. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Arch Resources' previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
25th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Arch Resources' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Arch Resources' investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2014-10-28
2014-09-30-0.39-0.45-0.0615 
2013-07-24
2013-06-300.10.04-0.0660 
2015-02-03
2014-12-31-0.47-0.370.121 
2014-04-22
2014-03-31-0.49-0.6-0.1122 
2021-04-22
2021-03-31-0.23-0.4-0.1773 
2015-04-21
2015-03-31-0.52-0.73-0.2140 
2014-02-04
2013-12-31-0.39-0.6-0.2153 
2018-07-31
2018-06-301.82.060.2614 

Arch Resources Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Arch target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Arch Resources' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   6  Strong Buy
Most Arch analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Arch stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Arch Resources, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Arch Resources Target Price Projection

Arch Resources' current and average target prices are 138.18 and 177.17, respectively. The current price of Arch Resources is the price at which Arch Resources is currently trading. On the other hand, Arch Resources' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Arch Resources Market Quote on 5th of October 2024

Low Price135.9Odds
High Price139.69Odds

138.18

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Arch Resources Target Price

Low Estimate161.22Odds
High Estimate196.66Odds

177.17

Historical Lowest Forecast  161.22 Target Price  177.17 Highest Forecast  196.66
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Arch Resources and the information provided on this page.

Arch Resources Analyst Ratings

Arch Resources' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Arch Resources stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Arch Resources' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Arch Resources' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Arch Resources' Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Arch Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arch Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Arch Resources' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Arch Resources' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Jb Capital Partners Lp2024-06-30
337.6 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
305.6 K
Gendell Jeffrey L2024-06-30
275 K
Fmr Inc2024-06-30
253.4 K
Lsp Investment Advisors, Llc2024-06-30
249.3 K
Skylands Capital, Llc2024-06-30
233.3 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
183.3 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-06-30
178.3 K
Condire Management Lp2024-06-30
176.6 K
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
2.7 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Note, although Arch Resources' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Arch Resources' market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.45 B.

Market Cap

1.39 Billion

Arch Resources' profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Capital Employed 0.25  0.18 
Return On Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Equity 0.31  0.33 
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.09 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.03 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.03.
Determining Arch Resources' profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Arch Resources is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Arch Resources' profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Arch Resources' profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Evaluate Arch Resources' management efficiency

Arch Resources has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0802 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0802 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1804 %, meaning that it created $0.1804 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Arch Resources' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Arch Resources manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of now, Arch Resources' Return On Tangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Arch Resources' current Return On Assets is estimated to increase to 0.20, while Return On Capital Employed is projected to decrease to 0.18. As of now, Arch Resources' Fixed Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. The Arch Resources' current Return On Assets is estimated to increase to 0.20, while Non Currrent Assets Other are projected to decrease to under 151 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 81.14  103.92 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 81.14  101.48 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.10  2.50 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.05  2.15 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.10  2.50 
Price Fair Value 2.05  2.15 
Enterprise Value1.6 B1.4 B
The analysis of Arch Resources' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Arch Resources' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Arch Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0307
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0307
Forward Dividend Rate
4.14
Beta
0.621

Basic technical analysis of Arch Stock

As of the 5th of October, Arch Resources shows the mean deviation of 1.8, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08). Arch Resources technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Arch Resources' insider trading activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Arch Resources insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Arch Resources' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Arch Resources insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Arch Resources' Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Arch Resources issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Arch Resources uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Arch bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Arch Resources has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Arch Resources' technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Arch Resources' various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Arch Resources' intraday indicators

Arch Resources intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Arch Resources stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Arch Resources Corporate Filings

F4
16th of September 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
3rd of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
21st of August 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
Arch Resources time-series forecasting models is one of many Arch Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Arch Resources' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Arch Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Arch Resources that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Arch media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Arch internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Arch data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Arch Resources news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Arch Resources relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Arch Resources' headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Arch Resources alpha.

Arch Resources Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Arch Resources can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Arch Resources Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Arch Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Arch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Arch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Arch Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Arch Resources' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Arch Resources and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Arch Resources news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Arch Resources.

Arch Resources Corporate Directors

Patrick KriegshauserIndependent DirectorProfile
Robert HamillIndependent DirectorProfile
Patrick BartelsIndependent DirectorProfile
Holly KoeppelIndependent DirectorProfile

Already Invested in Arch Resources?

The danger of trading Arch Resources is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Arch Resources is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Arch Resources. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Arch Resources is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Arch Stock

When determining whether Arch Resources offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Arch Resources' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arch Resources Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arch Resources Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Arch Resources. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more detail on how to invest in Arch Stock please use our How to Invest in Arch Resources guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Arch Resources. If investors know Arch will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Arch Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.80)
Dividend Share
7.86
Earnings Share
13.86
Revenue Per Share
151.798
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
The market value of Arch Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Arch that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Arch Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Arch Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Arch Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Arch Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Arch Resources' value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Arch Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Arch Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.