Is Cenovus Energy Stock a Good Investment?

Cenovus Energy Investment Advice

  CVE
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Cenovus Energy stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Cenovus Energy. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Cenovus Energy in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Cenovus Energy's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Cenovus Energy's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Cenovus Energy navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space and any emerging trends that could impact Cenovus Energy's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Cenovus Energy's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Cenovus Energy is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Cenovus Energy pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Cenovus Energy's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Cenovus Energy stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Cenovus Energy is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Sell
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Cenovus Energy and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Cenovus Energy is not overpriced, please confirm all Cenovus Energy fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Cenovus Energy has a price to earning of 14.01 X, we suggest you to validate Cenovus Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails

Examine Cenovus Energy Stock

Researching Cenovus Energy's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cenovus Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024.
To determine if Cenovus Energy is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Cenovus Energy's research are outlined below:
Cenovus Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 27th of September 2024 Cenovus Energy paid $ 0.13 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Analysts See Nearly 40 percent Upside in Cenovus Energy Stock

Cenovus Energy Quarterly Good Will

2.92 Billion

Cenovus Energy uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Cenovus Energy. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Cenovus Energy's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
15th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
24th of April 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
15th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Cenovus Energy's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Cenovus Energy's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2015-10-29
2015-09-30-0.05-0.030.0240 
2015-04-29
2015-03-31-0.09-0.11-0.0222 
2017-04-26
2017-03-31-0.08-0.050.0337 
2024-02-15
2023-12-310.340.390.0514 
2014-02-13
2013-12-310.330.28-0.0515 
2013-04-24
2013-03-310.470.520.0510 
2012-02-15
2011-12-310.490.44-0.0510 
2010-04-29
2010-03-310.40.450.0512 

Cenovus Energy Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Cenovus target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Cenovus Energy's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
   20  Strong Buy
Most Cenovus analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Cenovus stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Cenovus Energy, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Cenovus Energy Target Price Projection

Cenovus Energy's current and average target prices are 18.27 and 22.07, respectively. The current price of Cenovus Energy is the price at which Cenovus Energy is currently trading. On the other hand, Cenovus Energy's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Cenovus Energy Market Quote on 5th of October 2024

Low Price17.77Odds
High Price18.33Odds

18.27

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Cenovus Energy Target Price

Low Estimate20.08Odds
High Estimate24.5Odds

22.07

Historical Lowest Forecast  20.08 Target Price  22.07 Highest Forecast  24.5
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Cenovus Energy and the information provided on this page.

Cenovus Energy Analyst Ratings

Cenovus Energy's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Cenovus Energy stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Cenovus Energy's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Cenovus Energy's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Cenovus Energy's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Cenovus Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cenovus Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Cenovus Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Cenovus Energy's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bmo Capital Markets Corp.2024-06-30
15.5 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
15.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
15 M
Cibc Global Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
15 M
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-06-30
13 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-06-30
12.5 M
Mackenzie Investments2024-06-30
11.2 M
Smead Capital Management Inc2024-06-30
11.1 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
10.7 M
Capital World Investors2024-06-30
125.4 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-06-30
88.4 M
Note, although Cenovus Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Cenovus Energy's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 33.21 B.

Market Cap

43.87 Billion

Cenovus Energy's profitablity analysis

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.08  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.11  0.07 
Return On Assets 0.08  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.14  0.09 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.09 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.1 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.1 of operating income.
Determining Cenovus Energy's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Cenovus Energy is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Cenovus Energy's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Cenovus Energy's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.

Cenovus Energy's Earnings Breakdown by Geography

Please note, the presentation of Cenovus Energy's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Cenovus Energy's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Cenovus Energy's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Cenovus Energy's management efficiency

Cenovus Energy has Return on Asset of 0.0758 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0758 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1669 %, implying that it generated $0.1669 on every 100 dollars invested. Cenovus Energy's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Cenovus Energy manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of October 5, 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is expected to decline to 0.04. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is expected to decline to 0.07. At present, Cenovus Energy's Other Current Assets are projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Net Tangible Assets is expected to grow to about 29.1 B, whereas Non Current Assets Total are forecasted to decline to about 29.8 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 15.15  11.12 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 13.61  10.05 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.82  4.58 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.46  1.82 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.82  4.58 
Price Fair Value 1.46  1.82 
Enterprise Value49.5 B52 B
The analysis of Cenovus Energy's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Cenovus Energy's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Cenovus Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0262
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0262
Forward Dividend Rate
0.47
Beta
2.635

Basic technical analysis of Cenovus Stock

As of the 5th of October, Cenovus Energy shows the Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), mean deviation of 1.62, and Standard Deviation of 2.09. Cenovus Energy technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Cenovus Energy variance and value at risk to decide if Cenovus Energy is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 18.27 per share. Given that Cenovus Energy has information ratio of (0.11), we suggest you to validate Cenovus Energy's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Cenovus Energy's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Cenovus Energy issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Cenovus Energy uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Cenovus bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Cenovus Energy has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Cenovus Energy's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Cenovus Energy's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Cenovus Energy's intraday indicators

Cenovus Energy intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Cenovus Energy stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Cenovus Energy Corporate Filings

24th of September 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
6K
1st of August 2024
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
Cenovus Energy time-series forecasting models is one of many Cenovus Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Cenovus Energy's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Cenovus Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Cenovus Energy that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Cenovus media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Cenovus internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Cenovus data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Cenovus Energy news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Cenovus Energy relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Cenovus Energy's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Cenovus Energy alpha.

Cenovus Energy Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Cenovus Energy can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Cenovus Energy Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Cenovus Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cenovus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cenovus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cenovus Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Cenovus Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Cenovus Energy and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Cenovus Energy news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Cenovus Energy.

Cenovus Energy Corporate Directors

Steven LeerIndependent DirectorProfile
Kin FokNon-Independent DirectorProfile
Susan DabarnoIndependent DirectorProfile
Jane KinneyIndependent DirectorProfile

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cenovus Stock

When determining whether Cenovus Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cenovus Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cenovus Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cenovus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Cenovus Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For information on how to trade Cenovus Stock refer to our How to Trade Cenovus Stock guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cenovus Energy. If investors know Cenovus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cenovus Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.205
Dividend Share
0.6
Earnings Share
1.86
Revenue Per Share
29.871
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.217
The market value of Cenovus Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cenovus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cenovus Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cenovus Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cenovus Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cenovus Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Cenovus Energy's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Cenovus Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cenovus Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.