Is Disney Stock a Good Investment?

Disney Investment Advice

  DIS
To provide specific investment advice or recommendations on Walt Disney stock, we recommend investors consider the following general factors when evaluating Walt Disney. This will help you to make an informed decision on whether to include Disney in one of your diversified portfolios:
  • Examine Disney's financial health by looking at its balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement. Analyze key financial ratios, such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B), to determine whether the stock is fairly valued or over/undervalued.
  • Research Disney's leadership team and their track record. Good management can help Disney navigate difficult times and make strategic decisions that benefit shareholders and increases its net worth.
  • Consider the overall health of the Movies & Entertainment space and any emerging trends that could impact Disney's business and its evolving consumer preferences.
  • Compare Disney's performance and market position to its competitors. Analyze how Disney is positioned in terms of product offerings, innovation, and market share.
  • Check if Disney pays a dividend and its dividend yield and payout ratio.
  • Review what financial analysts are saying about Disney's stock and their price targets. However, remember that analysts' opinions can vary, and their predictions may not always be accurate.
It's important to note that investing in Walt Disney stock, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember that it's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. Below is a detailed guide on how to decide if Walt Disney is a good investment.
 
Sell
 
Buy
Macroaxis provides advice on Walt Disney to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Walt Disney. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Disney is not overpriced, please confirm all Walt Disney fundamentals, including its debt to equity, market capitalization, and the relationship between the ebitda and earnings per share . Given that Walt Disney has a price to earning of 56.03 X, we urge you to verify Walt Disney market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Market Performance

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Volatility

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Hype Condition

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Current Valuation

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Odds of Distress

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Economic Sensitivity

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Analyst Consensus

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Financial Strenth (F Score)

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Financial Leverage

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Reporting Quality (M-Score)

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Examine Disney Stock

Researching Disney's stock involves analyzing various aspects of the company and its industry to make an informed investment decision. The key areas to focus on are fundamentals, business model and competitive advantage. It is also important to analyze trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, as well as key financial ratios, such as price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-sales (P/S), and debt-to-equity (D/E). About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Walt Disney has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.76. The entity last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2019. The firm had 10000:9865 split on the 13th of June 2007.
To determine if Disney is a good investment, evaluating the company's potential for future growth is also very important. This may include expanding into new markets, launching new products or services, or improving operational efficiency. Companies with strong growth prospects can be more attractive investments. This aspect of the research should be conducted in the context of the overall market and industry in which the company operates and should include an analysis of growth potential, competitive landscape, and any regulatory or economic factors that could impact the business. Some of the essential points regarding Disney's research are outlined below:
Walt Disney generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Walt Disney is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Walt Disney has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Disney Stock Could Climb 50, J.P. Morgan Says - Barrons

Disney Quarterly Debt to Equity Ratio

1.042

Disney uses earnings reports to provide investors with an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Therefore, it is also crucial when considering investing in Walt Disney. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Disney's previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
14th of November 2023
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of February 2024
Next Financial Report
View
30th of September 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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14th of November 2023
Next Fiscal Year End
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30th of June 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2022
Last Financial Announcement
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Earnings surprises can significantly impact Disney's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate. Below are the table of largest EPS Surprises Disney's investors have experienced.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2001-11-08
2001-09-300.070.06-0.0114 
2003-11-20
2003-09-300.150.170.0213 
2003-07-31
2003-06-300.160.190.0318 
2002-04-25
2002-03-310.10.130.0330 
2001-04-24
2001-03-310.140.170.0321 
2001-02-06
2000-12-310.250.280.0312 
2000-11-09
2000-09-300.170.20.0317 
2005-08-09
2005-06-300.380.420.0410 

Disney's SEC filings

Before you invest in Disney, make sure you check Disney'srecent SEC filings. These artifacts are important regulatory documents required of all public companies to provide to potential investors. Disney prospectus issued under the guidelines of the SEC is a legal declaration of facts and statements to ensure that Disney investors are not misled. SEC filings are required by law to meet strict transparency standards and other important legal constraints. Although many companies may choose careful wording to disguise some material information, SEC filings make crucial Disney's specific information freely available to individual and institutional investors to make a timely investment decision.
19th of September 2023
Financial Statements and Exhibits. Regulation FD Disclosure
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9th of February 2023
Unclassified Corporate Event
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Disney Target Price Consensus

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Disney target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Disney's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Number of Opinions24
Lowered Outlook0
Raized Outlook0
Buy
Most Disney analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Disney stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Walt Disney, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice   Exposure   Valuation

Disney Target Price Projection

Disney's current and average target prices are 81.05 and 111.58, respectively. The current price of Disney is the price at which Walt Disney is currently trading. On the other hand, Disney's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.

Current Price

Disney Market Quote on 30th of September 2023

Low Price80.41Odds
High Price81.33Odds

81.05

Target Price

Analyst Consensus On Disney Target Price

Low Estimate76.0Odds
High Estimate146.0Odds
Number of Analysts19
Standard Deviation17.007

111.578

Historical Lowest Forecast  76.0 Target Price  111.58 Highest Forecast  146.0
Note that most analysts generally publish their price targets in research reports on specific companies, along with recommendations for the company's stock.Although price targets are often quoted in the financial news media, there could be a delay between the publication of the latest analyst outlook on Walt Disney and the information provided on this page.

Disney Analyst Ratings

Disney's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Disney stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Disney's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Disney's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.

Know Disney's Top Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Disney is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walt Disney backward and forwards among themselves. Disney's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Disney's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Last TransactionTypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group Inc2023-06-30Common Shares148.9 M13.3 B
State Street Corp2023-06-30Common Shares73.1 M6.5 B
State Farm Mutual Automobile Insurance Co2023-06-30Common Shares33.8 MB
Wellington Management Group Llp2023-06-30Common Shares12 M1.1 B
Ubs Asset Management Americas Inc2023-06-30Common SharesM900.4 M
Ubs Group Ag2023-06-30Common Shares7.6 M674.8 M
Susquehanna International Group Llp2023-06-30Common Shares7.4 M660.5 M
Wells Fargo Company2023-06-30Common Shares7.1 M636.2 M
Swiss National Bank2023-06-30Common Shares6.6 M589 M
Trian Fund Management Lp2023-06-30Common Shares6.4 M573.6 M
Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Holdings Inc2023-06-30Common SharesM446.4 M
Note, although Disney's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Disney's market capitalization trends

The company currently falls under 'Mega-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 146.62 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Disney's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Disney's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Market Cap

183.18 Billion

Disney's profitablity analysis

Disney's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Disney's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Disney is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Disney's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Disney's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Disney's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Return on Investment 21.19  19.31 
Return on Average Assets 0.1  0.08 
Return on Average Equity 0.21  0.17 
Return on Invested Capital 0.24  0.20 
Return on Sales 0.25  0.21 
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.03 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.09 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.09 of operating income.
Determining Disney's profitability involves analyzing its financial statements and using various financial metrics to determine if Disney is a good buy. For example, gross profit margin measures Disney's profitability after accounting for the cost of goods sold, while net profit margin measures profitability after accounting for all expenses. Other important metrics include return on assets, return on equity, and free cash flow. By reviewing multiple sources and metrics, you can gain a complete picture of Disney's profitability and make more informed investment decisions.
The data published in Disney's official financial statements usually reflect Disney's business processes, product offerings, services, and other fundamental events. But there are other numbers, ratios, or fundamental indicators derived from these statements that are easier to understand and visualize within the underlying realities that drive quantitative information of Walt Disney. For example, before you start analyzing numbers published by Disney accountants, it's critical to develop an understanding of what Disney's liquidity, profitability, and earnings quality are in the context of the Entertainment space in which it operates.
Please note, the presentation of Disney's financial position, as portrayed in its financial statements, is often influenced by management's estimates, judgments, and sometimes even manipulations. In the best case, Disney's management is honest, while the outside auditors are strict and uncompromising. Whatever the case, the imprecision that can be found in Disney's accounting process means that the reasonable investor should take a skeptical approach toward the financial statement analysis of Walt Disney. Please utilize our Beneish M Score to check the likelihood of Disney's management manipulating its earnings.

Evaluate Disney's management efficiency

Walt Disney has Return on Asset of 0.0237 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0237 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0272 %, implying that it generated $0.0272 on every 100 dollars invested. Disney's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Disney manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return on Investment is likely to drop to 19.31 in 2023. Return on Average Assets is likely to drop to 0.08 in 2023. Disney Total Assets are comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Disney reported Total Assets of 95.79 Billion in 2022. Current Assets is likely to gain to about 20.8 B in 2023, whereas Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 62.53 in 2023.
Last ReportedProjected for 2023
Book Value per Share 26.35  34.18 
Enterprise Value over EBIT 12.00  12.95 
Enterprise Value over EBITDA 10.26  10.53 
Price to Book Value 3.68  3.23 
Tangible Assets Book Value per Share 36.59  39.89 
Enterprise Value170 B206.7 B
Tangible Asset Value57.4 B65.4 B
The analysis of Disney's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Disney's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Disney Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Long Term Debt Total
45.3 B
Short Long Term Debt Total
48.4 B
Income Tax Expense
1.7 B
Interest Expense
1.4 B
Total Operating Expenses
21.6 B

Basic technical analysis of Disney Stock

As of the 30th of September, Disney shows the Coefficient Of Variation of (994.88), risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Standard Deviation of 1.48. Walt Disney technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to collect and analyze data for thirteen technical drivers for Walt Disney, which can be compared to its rivals. Please confirm Walt Disney standard deviation and value at risk to decide if Walt Disney is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 81.05 per share. Given that Disney has information ratio of (0.09), we urge you to verify Walt Disney's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Disney's Outstanding Corporate Bonds

Disney issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Walt Disney uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Disney bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Walt Disney has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Understand Disney's technical and predictive indicators

Using predictive indicators to make investment decisions involves analyzing Disney's various financial and market-based factors to help forecast future trends and identify investment opportunities. Select the indicators that are most relevant to your investment strategy. Each indicator has its own strengths and weaknesses, so it's essential to combine multiple indicators to get a more comprehensive view of the market and reduce the risk of making poor decisions based on limited data.

Consider Disney's intraday indicators

Disney intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Disney stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Disney time-series forecasting models is one of many Disney's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Disney's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Disney Stock media impact

Far too much social signal, news, headlines, and media speculation about Disney that are available to investors today. That information is available publicly through Disney media outlets and privately through word of mouth or via Disney internal channels. However, regardless of the origin, that massive amount of Disney data is challenging to quantify into actionable patterns, especially for investors that are not very sophisticated with ever-evolving tools and techniques used in the investment management field.
A primary focus of Disney news analysis is to determine if its current price reflects all relevant headlines and social signals impacting the current market conditions. A news analyst typically looks at the history of Disney relative headlines and hype rather than examining external drivers such as technical or fundamental data. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned thinking related to Disney's headlines and news coverage data. This data is often completely overlooked or insufficiently analyzed for actionable insights to drive Disney alpha.

Disney Sentiment by Major News Outlets

Investor sentiment, mood or attitude towards Disney can have a significant impact on its stock price or the market as a whole. This sentiment can be positive or negative, and various factors, such as economic indicators, news events, or market trends, can influence it. When investor sentiment is positive, investors are more likely to buy stocks, increasing demand and increasing the stock price. Positive investor sentiment can be driven by good news about the company or the broader market, such as solid earnings reports or positive economic data.
Note that negative investor sentiment can cause investors to sell stocks, leading to a decrease in demand and a drop in the stock price. Negative sentiment can be driven by factors such as poor earnings reports, negative news about the company or industry, or broader economic concerns. It's important to note that investor sentiment is just one of many factors that can affect stock prices. Other factors, such as company performance, industry trends, and global economic conditions, can also play a significant role in determining the value of a stock.

Walt Disney Historical Investor Sentiment

Investor biases related to Disney's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Disney. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Disney can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Walt Disney. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Disney's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Disney and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Disney news discussions. The higher the estimate score, the more favorable the investor's outlook on Disney.

Disney Maximum Pain Price across 2023-09-29 Option Contracts

Disney's options can also be used to analyze investors' bias and current market sentiment in the context of behavioral finance. For example, Max pain usually refers to a trading concept that asserts that market manipulation can cause the market price of Disney close to the expiration of its current option contract to expire worthlessly. According to most research, about 35% of options are not executed, with roughly 50% traded out before expiration. So, Max pain occurs when market makers reach a net favorable position across all options at a strike price where option holders stand to lose the most money. By contrast, option sellers may reap the most after selling more options than buying, causing them to expire worthlessly. Please continue to view the detailed analysis of Disney's options.

Disney Implied Volatility

    
  22.23  
Disney's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Walt Disney stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Disney's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Disney stock will not fluctuate a lot when Disney's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Disney in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Disney's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Disney options trading.

Pair Trading with Disney

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Disney position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Disney will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

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Moving against Disney Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Disney could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Disney when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Disney - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Walt Disney to buy it.
The correlation of Disney is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Disney moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Walt Disney moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Disney can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Walt Disney. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Fund Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Disney Stock analysis

When running Disney's price analysis, check to measure Disney's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Disney is operating at the current time. Most of Disney's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Disney's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Disney's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Disney to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Disney's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Disney. If investors know Disney will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Disney listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.675
Earnings Share
1.21
Revenue Per Share
48.074
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.038
Return On Assets
0.0237
The market value of Walt Disney is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Disney that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Disney's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Disney's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Disney's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Disney's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
In summary, please note that there is a difference between Disney's value and its price, as these two are different measures arrived at by various means. Investors typically determine if Disney is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Disney's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.