CAC 40 (France) Market Value

FCHI -  France Index  

 6,676  63.14  0.95%

CAC 40's market value is the price at which a share of CAC 40 stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of CAC 40 investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of CAC 40 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in CAC 40 over a given investment horizon. Check out CAC 40 Hype Analysis, CAC 40 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, CAC 40 Volatility, as well as analyze CAC 40 Alpha and Beta and CAC 40 Performance.
Symbol
Backtest

Please note, there is a significant difference between CAC 40's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CAC 40 value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CAC 40's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

CAC 40 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to CAC 40's index what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of CAC 40.
0.00
05/04/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
08/02/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in CAC 40 on May 4, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding CAC 40 or generate 0.0% return on investment in CAC 40 over 90 days.

CAC 40 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure CAC 40's index current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess CAC 40 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

CAC 40 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for CAC 40's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as CAC 40's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use CAC 40 historical prices to predict the future CAC 40's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CAC 40's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CAC 40 in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6,6756,6766,677
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6,3416,3427,343
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6,7516,7526,753
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,3546,5246,694
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CAC 40. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CAC 40's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CAC 40's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CAC 40.

CAC 40 Backtested Returns

CAC 40 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which signifies that the index had 0.12% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our approach to foreseeing the volatility of an index is to use all available market data together with index-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for CAC 40, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity.
The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what CAC 40's beta means in this case. the returns on MARKET and CAC 40 are completely uncorrelated. Although it is extremely important to respect CAC 40 existing price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity price patterns. The approach to foreseeing future performance of any index is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining CAC 40 technical indicators, you can at this time evaluate if the expected return of 0.11% will be sustainable into the future.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
  (0.02)   

Very weak reverse predictability

CAC 40 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between CAC 40 time series from 4th of May 2021 to 18th of June 2021 and 18th of June 2021 to 2nd of August 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of CAC 40 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current CAC 40 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices. Given that CAC 40 has negative autocorrelation for selected time horizon, investors may consider taking a contrarian position regarding future price movement of CAC 40 for similar time interval.
Correlation Coefficient-0.02
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance6606.55

CAC 40 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is CAC 40 index's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting CAC 40's index expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of CAC 40 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that CAC 40 index has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

CAC 40 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If CAC 40 index is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if CAC 40 index is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in CAC 40 index over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

CAC 40 Lagged Returns

When evaluating CAC 40's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of CAC 40 index have on its future price. CAC 40 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, CAC 40 autocorrelation shows the relationship between CAC 40 index current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in CAC 40.
 Regressed Prices 
Share
      Timeline 

CAC 40 Investors Sentiment

The influence of CAC 40's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in CAC 40. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - FCHI

CAC 40 Investor Sentiment

Most of Macroaxis investors are at this time bullish on CAC 40. What is your opinion about investing in France companies? Are you bullish or bearish on CAC 40?
Bullish
Bearish
98% Bullish
2% Bearish
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Check out CAC 40 Hype Analysis, CAC 40 Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, CAC 40 Volatility, as well as analyze CAC 40 Alpha and Beta and CAC 40 Performance. Note that the CAC 40 information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CAC 40's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

Other Tools for CAC 40 Index

When running CAC 40 price analysis, check to measure CAC 40's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAC 40 is operating at the current time. Most of CAC 40's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAC 40's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAC 40's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAC 40 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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