Alger Dynamic Opportunities Fund Market Value

ADOCX Fund  USD 16.99  0.05  0.30%   
Alger Dynamic's market value is the price at which a share of Alger Dynamic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Alger Dynamic Opportunities investors about its performance. Alger Dynamic is trading at 16.99 as of the 20th of June 2024; that is 0.30 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 16.94.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Alger Dynamic Opportunities and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Alger Dynamic over a given investment horizon. Check out Alger Dynamic Correlation, Alger Dynamic Volatility and Alger Dynamic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alger Dynamic.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Alger Dynamic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alger Dynamic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alger Dynamic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Alger Dynamic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alger Dynamic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alger Dynamic.
0.00
05/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
06/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Alger Dynamic on May 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alger Dynamic Opportunities or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alger Dynamic over 30 days. Alger Dynamic is related to or competes with Pimco Rae, Morningstar Unconstrained, Via Renewables, Knife River, First Physicians, CarMax, and Medical Equipment. The fund invests in a portfolio of U.S. and foreign equity securities More

Alger Dynamic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alger Dynamic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alger Dynamic Opportunities upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Alger Dynamic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alger Dynamic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alger Dynamic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alger Dynamic historical prices to predict the future Alger Dynamic's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alger Dynamic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2716.9917.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.5117.2317.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.4417.1617.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.2416.6517.06
Details

Alger Dynamic Opport Backtested Returns

We consider Alger Dynamic very steady. Alger Dynamic Opport secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0884, which signifies that the fund had a 0.0884% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Alger Dynamic Opportunities, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Alger Dynamic's mean deviation of 0.5226, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0765 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0646%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.56, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Alger Dynamic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Alger Dynamic is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.57  

Modest predictability

Alger Dynamic Opportunities has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alger Dynamic time series from 21st of May 2024 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 20th of June 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alger Dynamic Opport price movement. The serial correlation of 0.57 indicates that roughly 57.0% of current Alger Dynamic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.57
Spearman Rank Test0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Alger Dynamic Opport lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Alger Dynamic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alger Dynamic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alger Dynamic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alger Dynamic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Alger Dynamic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alger Dynamic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alger Dynamic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alger Dynamic mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Alger Dynamic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Alger Dynamic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alger Dynamic mutual fund have on its future price. Alger Dynamic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alger Dynamic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alger Dynamic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alger Dynamic Opportunities.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger Dynamic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger Dynamic security.
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