Bridger Aerospace Group Stock Market Value

BAER Stock   5.07  0.12  2.42%   
Bridger Aerospace's market value is the price at which a share of Bridger Aerospace trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Bridger Aerospace Group investors about its performance. Bridger Aerospace is selling at 5.07 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is 2.42% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 4.95.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Bridger Aerospace Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Bridger Aerospace over a given investment horizon. Check out Bridger Aerospace Correlation, Bridger Aerospace Volatility and Bridger Aerospace Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bridger Aerospace.
Symbol

Bridger Aerospace Price To Book Ratio

Is Bridger Aerospace's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bridger Aerospace. If investors know Bridger will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bridger Aerospace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
0.11
Revenue Per Share
1.474
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(1.51)
The market value of Bridger Aerospace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bridger that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bridger Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bridger Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bridger Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bridger Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bridger Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bridger Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bridger Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Bridger Aerospace 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bridger Aerospace's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bridger Aerospace.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Bridger Aerospace on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bridger Aerospace Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bridger Aerospace over 30 days. Bridger Aerospace is related to or competes with Maximus, Network 1, First Advantage, BrightView Holdings, Civeo Corp, AZZ Incorporated, and Cass Information. Bridger Aerospace is entity of United States More

Bridger Aerospace Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bridger Aerospace's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bridger Aerospace Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Bridger Aerospace Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bridger Aerospace's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bridger Aerospace's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bridger Aerospace historical prices to predict the future Bridger Aerospace's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bridger Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.405.078.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.754.428.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.605.268.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.925.035.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bridger Aerospace. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bridger Aerospace's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bridger Aerospace's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bridger Aerospace.

Bridger Aerospace Backtested Returns

Bridger Aerospace secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0097, which signifies that the company had a -0.0097% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bridger Aerospace Group exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bridger Aerospace's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), mean deviation of 2.44, and Standard Deviation of 3.72 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.07, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning Bridger Aerospace are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Bridger Aerospace is expected to outperform it slightly. Bridger Aerospace has an expected return of -0.0355%. Please make sure to confirm Bridger Aerospace skewness, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and rate of daily change , to decide if Bridger Aerospace performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.56  

Good reverse predictability

Bridger Aerospace Group has good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bridger Aerospace time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bridger Aerospace price movement. The serial correlation of -0.56 indicates that roughly 56.0% of current Bridger Aerospace price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.56
Spearman Rank Test0.33
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.02

Bridger Aerospace lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Bridger Aerospace stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Bridger Aerospace's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Bridger Aerospace returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Bridger Aerospace has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Bridger Aerospace regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Bridger Aerospace stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Bridger Aerospace stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Bridger Aerospace stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Bridger Aerospace Lagged Returns

When evaluating Bridger Aerospace's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Bridger Aerospace stock have on its future price. Bridger Aerospace autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Bridger Aerospace autocorrelation shows the relationship between Bridger Aerospace stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Bridger Aerospace Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Bridger Aerospace in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Bridger Aerospace's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Bridger Aerospace options trading.

Pair Trading with Bridger Aerospace

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bridger Aerospace position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bridger Aerospace will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Bridger Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bridger Aerospace could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bridger Aerospace when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bridger Aerospace - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bridger Aerospace Group to buy it.
The correlation of Bridger Aerospace is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bridger Aerospace moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bridger Aerospace moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bridger Aerospace can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Bridger Aerospace is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bridger Aerospace's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bridger Aerospace's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bridger Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bridger Aerospace Correlation, Bridger Aerospace Volatility and Bridger Aerospace Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Bridger Aerospace.
Note that the Bridger Aerospace information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bridger Aerospace's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Complementary Tools for Bridger Stock analysis

When running Bridger Aerospace's price analysis, check to measure Bridger Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bridger Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Bridger Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bridger Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bridger Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bridger Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Bridger Aerospace technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Bridger Aerospace technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Bridger Aerospace trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...