Blackrock Government Bond Fund Market Value
| BIGLX Fund | USD 8.80 0.02 0.23% |
| Symbol | Blackrock |
Blackrock 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Blackrock's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Blackrock.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Blackrock on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Blackrock Government Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Blackrock over 30 days. Blackrock is related to or competes with Enhanced, Smead Value, Guidemark(r) Large, Tax-managed, T Rowe, Touchstone Large, and Old Westbury. The fund seeks to achieve its objective by investing at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any borrowings for inve... More
Blackrock Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Blackrock's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Blackrock Government Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.27) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.12 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.90) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.6579 |
Blackrock Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Blackrock's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Blackrock's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Blackrock historical prices to predict the future Blackrock's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.05) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.11) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.14) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackrock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blackrock Government Bond Backtested Returns
Blackrock Government Bond secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0792, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0792% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Blackrock Government Bond exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Blackrock's mean deviation of 0.3701, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.33, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Blackrock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Blackrock is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | 0.38 |
Below average predictability
Blackrock Government Bond has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Blackrock time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Blackrock Government Bond price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Blackrock price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.38 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Blackrock Government Bond lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Blackrock mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Blackrock's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Blackrock returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Blackrock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Blackrock regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Blackrock mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Blackrock mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Blackrock mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Blackrock Lagged Returns
When evaluating Blackrock's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Blackrock mutual fund have on its future price. Blackrock autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Blackrock autocorrelation shows the relationship between Blackrock mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Blackrock Government Bond.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Pair Trading with Blackrock
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Blackrock position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Blackrock will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Blackrock Mutual Fund
| 0.41 | BRBCX | Blackrock Tactical | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Blackrock could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Blackrock when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Blackrock - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Blackrock Government Bond to buy it.
The correlation of Blackrock is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Blackrock moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Blackrock Government Bond moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Blackrock can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Blackrock Correlation, Blackrock Volatility and Blackrock Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Blackrock. For more information on how to buy Blackrock Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Blackrock guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Blackrock technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.