CGHIX Mutual Fund Market Value

CGHIX -  USA Fund  

USD 10.47  0.14  1.36%

Crow Point's market value is the price at which a share of Crow Point stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Crow Point Global investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Crow Point Global and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Crow Point over a given investment horizon. Continue to Crow Point Hype Analysis, Crow Point Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Crow Point Volatility, as well as analyze Crow Point Alpha and Beta and Crow Point Performance.
Symbol
Backtest

Please note, there is a significant difference between Crow Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Crow Point value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crow Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Crow Point 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Crow Point's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Crow Point.
0.00
05/24/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 4 months and 1 day
09/21/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Crow Point on May 24, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Crow Point Global or generate 0.0% return on investment in Crow Point over 120 days. Crow Point is related to or competes with American Beacon. The investment seeks income with long-term growth of capital as a secondary objective

Crow Point Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Crow Point's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Crow Point Global upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Crow Point Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Crow Point's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Crow Point's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Crow Point historical prices to predict the future Crow Point's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crow Point's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Crow Point in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
10.0710.4710.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.0810.4810.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.9310.3310.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3510.5410.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crow Point. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crow Point's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crow Point's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Crow Point Global.

Crow Point Global Backtested Returns

We consider Crow Point very steady. Crow Point Global secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0969, which signifies that the fund had 0.0969% of return per unit of risk over the last 12 months. Our standpoint towards foreseeing the volatility of a fund is to use all available market data together with fund-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-one technical indicators for Crow Point Global, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the entity. Please confirm Crow Point Global Mean Deviation of 0.4803, risk adjusted performance of 0.0598, and Downside Deviation of 0.7038 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0589%.
The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0059, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what CGHIX's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Crow Point are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Crow Point is likely to outperform the market. Although it is extremely important to respect Crow Point Global historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards foreseeing future performance of any fund is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By analyzing Crow Point Global technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0589% will be sustainable into the future.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
   0.60   

Good predictability

Crow Point Global has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Crow Point time series from 24th of May 2021 to 23rd of July 2021 and 23rd of July 2021 to 21st of September 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Crow Point Global price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Crow Point price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test-0.12
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Crow Point Global lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Crow Point mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Crow Point's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Crow Point returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Crow Point mutual fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

Crow Point regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Crow Point mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Crow Point mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Crow Point mutual fund over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

Crow Point Lagged Returns

When evaluating Crow Point's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Crow Point mutual fund have on its future price. Crow Point autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Crow Point autocorrelation shows the relationship between Crow Point mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Crow Point Global.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Crow Point Investors Sentiment

The influence of Crow Point's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in CGHIX. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock markets does not have a solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Current Sentiment - CGHIX

Crow Point Global Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are unresponsive in their opinion about investing in Crow Point Global. What is your opinion about investing in Crow Point Global? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Bearish
50% Bullish
50% Bearish
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Pair Trading with Crow Point

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Crow Point position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Crow Point will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Crow Point Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Crow Point and American Beacon Ahl. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
Run Pair Correlation  
Continue to Crow Point Hype Analysis, Crow Point Correlation, Portfolio Optimization, Crow Point Volatility, as well as analyze Crow Point Alpha and Beta and Crow Point Performance. Note that the Crow Point Global information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Crow Point's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running Crow Point Global price analysis, check to measure Crow Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crow Point is operating at the current time. Most of Crow Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crow Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crow Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crow Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Crow Point technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Crow Point technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Crow Point trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...