EBay Stock Market Value

EBAY -  USA Stock  

USD 72.47  0.19  0.26%

EBay's market value is the price at which a share of EBay stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of EBay Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of EBay Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in EBay over a given investment horizon. Continue to EBay Hype Analysis, EBay Correlation, EBay Valuation, EBay Volatility, as well as analyze EBay Alpha and Beta and EBay Performance.
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Is EBay's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EBay. If investors know EBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about EBay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of EBay Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of EBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of EBay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is EBay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because EBay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect EBay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between EBay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine EBay value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, EBay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

EBay 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to EBay's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of EBay.
0.00
12/09/2019
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
11/28/2021
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in EBay on December 9, 2019 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding EBay Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in EBay over 720 days. EBay is related to or competes with Lightinthebox Holding, Carvana Co, Blue Apron, Imedia Brands, Chewy, and 1847 Goedeker. eBay Inc. operates marketplace platforms that connect buyers and sellers worldwide

EBay Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure EBay's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess EBay Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

EBay Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for EBay's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as EBay's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use EBay historical prices to predict the future EBay's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of EBay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of EBay in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
70.8372.8174.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
65.2274.7676.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
72.0073.9875.95
Details
16 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
63.0075.9491.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EBay. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EBay's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EBay's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in EBay Inc.

EBay Inc Backtested Returns

EBay Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0412, which denotes the company had -0.0412% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. Macroaxis approach into predicting the risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and unsystematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. EBay Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to confirm EBay Inc mean deviation of 1.42 to check the risk estimate we provide.
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.7488, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Let's try to break down what EBay's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, EBay returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EBay will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to EBay Inc historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our approach into predicting any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. EBay Inc exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. EBay Inc has an expected return of -0.0814%. Please be advised to confirm EBay Inc coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and semi variance to decide if EBay Inc performance from the past will be repeated at future time.
AdviceVolatility TrendExposureCorrelations

Auto-correlation

    
   0.81   

Very good predictability

EBay Inc has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between EBay time series from 9th of December 2019 to 3rd of December 2020 and 3rd of December 2020 to 28th of November 2021. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of EBay Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current EBay price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.72
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance66.14

EBay Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is EBay stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting EBay's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of EBay returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that EBay stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
 Current and Lagged Values 
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      Timeline 

EBay regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If EBay stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if EBay stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in EBay stock over time.
 Current vs Lagged Prices 
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      Timeline 

EBay Lagged Returns

When evaluating EBay's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of EBay stock have on its future price. EBay autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, EBay autocorrelation shows the relationship between EBay stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in EBay Inc.
 Regressed Prices 
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      Timeline 

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in EBay without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate.risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Analyst Recommendations

Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
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Pair Trading with EBay

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if EBay position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in EBay will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

EBay Pair Correlation

Equities Pair Trading Analysis

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for EBay and Lightinthebox Holding. Pair trading can be used as a hedging technique within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate better risk-adjusted return
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Continue to EBay Hype Analysis, EBay Correlation, EBay Valuation, EBay Volatility, as well as analyze EBay Alpha and Beta and EBay Performance. Note that the EBay Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other EBay's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Complementary Tools for EBay Stock analysis

When running EBay Inc price analysis, check to measure EBay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EBay is operating at the current time. Most of EBay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EBay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EBay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EBay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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EBay technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of EBay technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of EBay trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...