Ecolab Stock Market Value

ECL Stock  USD 150.85  1.48  0.97%   
Ecolab's market value is the price at which a share of Ecolab stock trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Ecolab Inc investors about the entity's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Ecolab Inc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Ecolab over a given investment horizon. Continue to Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Volatility and Ecolab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ecolab.
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Is Ecolab's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ecolab. If investors know Ecolab will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ecolab listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ecolab Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ecolab that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ecolab's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ecolab's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ecolab's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ecolab's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ecolab's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Ecolab value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ecolab's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Ecolab 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Ecolab's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Ecolab.
0.00
02/09/2021
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
01/30/2023
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Ecolab on February 9, 2021 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Ecolab Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Ecolab over 720 days. Ecolab is related to or competes with Johnson Johnson, International Business, McDonalds, Intel, Microsoft, B of A, and Pfizer. Ecolab Inc. provides water, hygiene, and infection prevention solutions and services in the United States and internatio... More

Ecolab Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Ecolab's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Ecolab Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Ecolab Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Ecolab's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Ecolab's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Ecolab historical prices to predict the future Ecolab's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ecolab's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Ecolab in the context of predictive analytics.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
149.42151.39153.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
136.10188.94190.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
146.25148.22150.20
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
126.00230.73260.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ecolab. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ecolab's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ecolab's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Ecolab Inc.

Ecolab Inc Backtested Returns

We consider Ecolab very steady. Ecolab Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0648, which denotes the company had 0.0648% of return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Our standpoint towards predicting the volatility of a stock is to use all available market data together with stock-specific technical indicators that cannot be diversified away. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Ecolab Inc, which you can use to evaluate the future volatility of the firm. Please confirm Ecolab Inc Coefficient Of Variation of 3219.41, downside deviation of 2.35, and Mean Deviation of 1.59 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.13%.
Ecolab has a performance score of 4 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.4559, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Ecolab's beta means in this case. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Ecolab will likely underperform. Although it is important to respect Ecolab Inc historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on the equity's current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance, including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing Ecolab Inc technical indicators, you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.13% will be sustainable into the future. Ecolab Inc right now shows a risk of 1.97%. Please confirm Ecolab Inc sortino ratio, skewness, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change to decide if Ecolab Inc will be following its price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

Ecolab Inc has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Ecolab time series from 9th of February 2021 to 4th of February 2022 and 4th of February 2022 to 30th of January 2023. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Ecolab Inc price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Ecolab price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance144.18

Ecolab Inc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Ecolab stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Ecolab's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Ecolab returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Ecolab stock has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the stock movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Ecolab regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Ecolab stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Ecolab stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Ecolab stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Ecolab Lagged Returns

When evaluating Ecolab's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Ecolab stock have on its future price. Ecolab autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Ecolab autocorrelation shows the relationship between Ecolab stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Ecolab Inc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Ecolab in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Ecolab's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Ecolab options trading.

Pair Trading with Ecolab

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ecolab position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ecolab will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Ecolab

+0.61GOOGAlphabet Class Earnings Call TodayPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ecolab could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ecolab when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ecolab - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ecolab Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Ecolab is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ecolab moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ecolab Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ecolab can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
Continue to Ecolab Correlation, Ecolab Volatility and Ecolab Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Ecolab. Note that the Ecolab Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ecolab's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Ecolab technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Ecolab technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Ecolab trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...